Where to even begin. Tonight it should end. The Bucks will complete their comeback from being down 2-0 and win the series. Before the finals started, I suggested betting Chris Paul to win MVP at +410. I still have that wager. After the Bucks got down 1-0, I bet them to win the series at +240. Before game five, I bet Bucks to win in six games at +300. All three of them are still live and in play. My worst-case scenario would be the Suns coming back and Booker winning the MVP. Does it feel like that is going to happen? I do not think so. The Bucks figured it all out defensively and the Suns still do not have an answer for Giannis. As long as Middleton and Holiday play well enough, the Bucks will close this out. I fully expect to hear how Chris Paul was hurt and playing with some sort of injury that will require surgery.
Despite adjusting for injury, being on the road and Scott Foster, the model likes the Suns +5, but barely. I will be on the Bucks as you can surmise from the above paragraph.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
Suns +5 (Yes, there are some 4.5’s out there. If this falls to 4, the model would flip to the Bucks, that is how close it is.)
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 NOPE FD!
Booker to score 30+ and make 3+ Threes +220 (FD)
On the surface this seems pretty simple. Booker could do this in a loss. Yet, Booker has only made 3+ three’s in one game this series. In fact, he has only made 3+ threes in six games during the entire post-season. I am fading, but not because of the points. Pass.
Suns to win by 1-10 points +360 (FD)
If you like the Suns, you should be on this. I could use this a hedge, but nope. I am on the Bucks.
Bucks to cover 4.5 and Giannis over 32.5 Points +250 (FD)
This should pay +204. Keep in the mind the line has bounced around between 4.5 and 5-points since game five. This is right at Giannis’s prop number of 32.5 and he should be in this range. I am thinking he explodes again and cements the Finals MVP with a 35-15 type performance. I am in.
Over 230+ points +240 (FD)
They have gone over this total once and it will not be in Milwaukee, when they try to control the pace a little more. Pass.
Suns ML Boosted to +250 (DK)
Like I said if you like the Suns, the FD one is better, but come on. I am on the Bucks.
DK continues to offer plenty of Suns centric boosts, many that require them to win. As I said, no thank you.
Booker and Giannis to score 30+ Points +200 (Fox)
Booker is -154 to score 30+.
Giannis is -230 to score 30+.
This parlay should pay +130.
I expect both guys to be over 30+ in this one. I hope your max bet is larger than mine is. I am in.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
CHC/CWS to both win +225 (DK)
This pays +228 on FD, so yeah pass on this boost.
We will be back with more baseball once the NBA season ends.
NBA
Bucks -4.5 (Barstool, it is five in other spots of course, but when I am betting personally, I am taking the best number. The computer model was run when it was five points. If it falls to four points, the model would flip to the Bucks.)
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Padres/Bucks ML parlay +135
We can get weird one more time with the NBA tonight!
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 79-66 54.48%
NBA Playoff Record 17-11 60.71%
Hoops Parlay Record 45-38 +504
Hoops Odds Boosts 67-126 +1360
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Playoff Record 41-40 50.61%
NBA Model Highest Rated 74-69 51.74%
NBA Model 517-499 50.88%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 26-49 -597
Baseball Games 7-11 -651
Baseball Parlay Record 8-14 +204
Baseball Odds boosts Record 11-25 -150
Win The Weekends 