Game four is tonight and it feels good to be back to some normalcy. While I have enjoyed the NBA lasting this long, it seems weird not having as much of a “break” as usual. Nevertheless, the NBA schedule especially for the playoffs and Finals has been bizarre. I think the Bucks figured out their offense and that Giannis will continue to impose his will in this series.
We are fortunate to have The Open starting tomorrow as well, so more things to watch and wager on is never a bad thing.
I of course made a few wagers for The Open, as one does, but I wish it started a little later in the morning, I mean what am I going to do wake up every few hours and check my phone? As someone who woke up early last year to bet and play some KBO DFS, of course it is in play.
For this particular major championship, I have made the following wagers:
Rory 22/1
Noren 90/1
Bryson 35/1
Noren Top 10 +850
I realize Rahm is playing out of his mind, but betting anyone at +700 in a field like this is wild and something I will never do. Rory’s price has clearly dipped from where it was only a short time ago and I am buying the dip, something I had success with last year. In theory that would mean I should jump on DJ at 25/1 as well, but he has not played well recently and this course may not suit him at all. I am passing.
However, I could not pass on my guy Bryson at 35/1. Listen, I realize he has horrid history at The Open, but that price is just too nice for me. He has the ability that he could win and has shown an ability to attack courses in different ways. He could also make an eight and be done early. That is kind of the goal here right. The Talladega Night’s “if you ain’t first, you’re last,” mantra is in play when you are betting the winner.
Lastly, Noren has been playing well and has been around the top 20 several times in The Open. I liked the price and decided he would be my long shot.
I would normally break down the odds boosts available for each site, but I am going to say the combo to win boosts are never that advantageous. Additionally, the make the cut parlays seems extra risky with the conditions and unique style of golf here. I am passing on them and instead playing a little more DFS.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
Suns +4.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Taco Bell Comeback Boost +350 (FD)
I have said it before, I hate this wagers where you are rooting against yourself in one half. I would rather just be on a team. Pass.
FD 3×2 Boosts
These are an auto pass for me and must be so profitable for the books they keep offering them. Pass.
Suns to cover +4.5 and CP3 20+ Points +190 (FD)
This is a boost as it should pay +142. If you like, the Suns tonight, you should bet this boost. Paul will have to get there and would have last game as well if it were more competitive. I will be on the Bucks, so I am passing, but again if you like the Suns, fire away.
Simmons Boost Giannis -16.5 combo (Pts/REB/Ast) over Booker +130 (FD)
Giannis is set to 53.5 and the over is juiced.
Booker is set to 37.5 and the over is also juiced.
As you can tell this is right in line with what it should be, with the added caveat that you get to bet it at plus money.
Game 1 Giannis 52 Booker 35 aka +17 Giannis
Game 2 Giannis 62 Booker 42 aka +20 Giannis
Game 3 Giannis 60 Booker 18 aka + 42 Giannis
The Suns have zero answer for Giannis, no matter how the game goes. I am in.
DK has plenty of first basket, or a certain amount of threes in a time period wagers. I am passing on those type of wagers; they are more of a gamble to me. The Players are not rushing to make a certain amount of threes in a half or something like that.
Giannis to record 34+ points and the Bucks to win +165 (DK)
This should pay around +150. Giannis’s point prop is set to 34.5 so he can even miss and still get you there. I think Giannis continues to smash and the Bucks win again. I am in.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NA
NBA
Bucks -4.5
The Suns have no answer for Giannis. He will continue to crush and the Suns other guys must play well in a tough road game.
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 77-66 53.84%
NBA Playoff Record 15-11 57.69%
Hoops Parlay Record 45-38 +504
Hoops Odds Boosts 66-124 +1460
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Playoff Record 40-39 50.63%
NBA Model Highest Rated 73-69 51.40%
NBA Model 516-498 50.88%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 26-49 -597
Baseball Games 7-11 -651
Baseball Parlay Record 8-14 +204
Baseball Odds boosts Record 11-25 -150
Win The Weekends 