I really thought the Clippers would win last night and frankly, they should have. That was one of the most bizarre sequences I can recall seeing in some time. Nevertheless, these entire playoffs have been bizarre. I fully expect something strange tonight.
I posted yesterday with Hawks +7.5 and even though it is eight around the industry at this time, I am staying locked in where I am. If you want to play the Hawks, go get a better number.
Draft Kings is offering the Bucks money line at +100 for $25 max. If you get this offer, you need to bet this for value. The Bucks are -400.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
ATL +7.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Giannis -10.5 PTS/REB/ASST over Trae +120 (FD)
Giannis’s combo is set to 51.5 and the over is juiced.
Trae’s combo is set to 41.5 and the over is ever so slightly juiced.
This is a fair number and price. I think Giannis smells what’s out there for him and he was fantastic in game seven. I think it continues tonight. I am in.
Draft Kings is offering the Bucks money line at +100 for $25 max. If you get this offer, you need to bet this for value. The Bucks are -400.
Giannis to score 34+ points +110 (DK)
Giannis’s points prop is set to 33.5 and the under is juiced. I mean, I suppose there could be a blowout here and the Hawks could go away. This is a slight boost, but I am passing. I understand if you want to fire, but I am staying away in game one.
Huerter to make 3+ Threes +155 (DK)
Red Velvet’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is heavily juiced. You can bet over at +128, so this is a boost, but I am passing. I want to see how this game one goes before investing a little more in the peripheral players.
Giannis and Trae 25+ points +100 (Fox)
Giannis and Trae 30+ points +200 (Barstool)
Giannis’s points prop is set to 33.5 and the under is juiced
Trae’s points prop is set 28.5.
The 25+ parlay should pay -201.
The 30+ boost should pay +181.
You can see the 25+ boost is well worth playing while the 30+ boost is a fade. I am in on the Fox 25+ boost as both guys are expected to get there.
Giannis top scorer +100 (Fox)
Giannis has the highest point prop by five points. I am in. I am taking advantage of this boost.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Zero runs scored SDP/LAD +100 (FD)
This game has a low total of 7.5 and this should pay -125. I am in. I am going to hope both pitchers start well, despite the fact Kershaw gave up a homerun in the first inning last night.
TB/MIA to both win +320 (DK)
This should pay +251. This includes one favorite and one dog. Meh, I am passing.
TB/MIA/NYY to all win +475 (Fox)
This should pay +447. I mean, are you really going to bet a parlay with the Marlins involved? Pass.
NBA
Nothing at this time.
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 76-65 53.90%
NBA Playoff Record 14-10 58.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 45-38 +504
Hoops Odds Boosts 64-121 +1660
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Playoff Record 35-31 53.03%
NBA Model Highest Rated 73-67 52.14%
NBA Model 511-490 51.04%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 24-47 -607
Baseball Games 7-11 -651
Baseball Parlay Record 7-14 +104
Baseball Odds boosts Record 10-23 -060