In some cases, your bet can be dead almost after the game starts. I might be in that situation tonight. I like the Nets. The model likes the Nets. I believe James Harden is healthy and was being kept out of this series because the Nets did not need him. Now they need him. The public will be all over the Bucks tonight because of the uncertainty in Harden and Kyrie being out. Uncertainty creates value. Up until the moment Kyrie got hurt in game four, if I told you the Nets would be +2.5 at home in game five you would have thought I was lying. Sometimes you have to bet with what you believe. Two years ago, I believed the Raptors were better than the Warriors were. Tonight I believe Harden will be fine and the Nets win. Of course, I could be wrong and be dead in five minutes if Harden’s hamstring is not right. This is what sports betting is all about. What do you believe? I am on Brooklyn and a few odds boosts revolving around the Nets.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
BRK +2.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting3×2 FD? People must love betting on this.
KD to score 30+ and the Nets to win +210 (FD)
KD’s point prop is set to 34.5 points but the under is juiced. This parlay should pay +148. I think this all comes down to what you believe. I Think Kyrie swapped for Harden is an upgrade, but how good to go is Harden. I think Harden will be ready to play and maybe him sitting was precautionary. Notice as soon as he was needed he went from out, to playing very fast. I think Harden is much more important that Kyrie and the Nets win tonight. I am in.
Nets to lead at half time and win the game +300 (DK)
If I think Harden is good to go, why not fire here? I get a live dog who has vastly outplayed the Bucks the entire series. The Nets hat to shoot historically bad to lose one of the games and then had Kyrie get hurt, which essentially started the downfall in game four. Nets get back on track tonight. I am in.
Giannis and KD to combine for 100+ PTS/REB/AST +110 (Barstool)Giannis’s combo is set to 50.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
KD’s is set to 49.5.
As you can see this is right on the line here. However, what has happened in these games? They have all trended under. Of course, the players can still hit their individual numbers, but it is not shocking to know that a higher total games have more likelihood of players hitting prop overs. The total here is 221 points. I am passing on this. It is barely a boost and is the case with this combined props, you are usually better parlaying them to both go over.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYY/ATL/CWS all to win +700 (Fox)
The NYY are small dogs against the red hot offense of the Toronto Blue Jays. Both Atlanta and the White Sox are small favorites tonight. This parlay should pay +619. I think you know by now that including three coin flip games like this is risky, especially with a small dog involved. Pass for me.
NBA
BRK +2.5 I think it is clear how I think this goes.
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 73-63 53.67%
NBA Playoff Record 11-8 57.89%
Hoops Parlay Record 45-37 +604
Hoops Odds Boosts 63-116 +1950
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Playoff Record 32-25 56.14%
NBA Model Highest Rated 72-67 51.79%
NBA Model 508-484 51.20%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 22-40 -155
Baseball Games 7-10 -551
Baseball Parlay Record 6-10 +366
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030
Win The Weekends 