Yesterday was the last day of school and we attended a pool party after the early dismissal. Why kids go to school for three hours the last day is beyond me. Yet, I tweeted some things out and somehow the Jazz pushed and the Sixers won easily. Tonight, I really like Denver. I know their backcourt is in rough shape against CP3 and Booker, but I keep going back to who stops Jokic, especially if Ayton gets in foul trouble. Maybe I am wrong, but six feels like a lot of points, and the computer model agrees.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
DEN +6 (Highest Rated in Model)
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 boost, nope.
Booker and Ayton to combine for 50+ points +250 (FD)
Booker’s point prop is set to 28.5.
Ayton’s point prop is set to 16.5.
These two are expected to combine for 45 points tonight. I believe Ayton could get into foul trouble and although he is playing a lot better than he has during his young career. As you know, I do not like this combined props and would rather bet a parlay over the players to hit the over. Pass for me.
Suns and Nuggets to combine for 30+ made 3’s +160 (DK)
These two teams combined for 27 made 3’s in game one. In game one 227 points were scored. This game has a total of 223.5 points. I think this is right on the border, but I am passing. I like Denver tonight, but this is a lot of threes.
Booker to score 25+ points and Suns to win +115 (Barstool)
This should pay -112 and if you like the Suns fire away. Booker’s prop is set to 28.5. I am passing as I am on Denver tonight, but you can go ahead. Pass for me.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYY and CWS to both win +200 (FD)
Both are favored and have the better pitcher in the game. This parlay should pay +149. I am in. Slowly, we have climbed out of the negative and are looking to punch through into the positive for MLB! I hope we get there tonight!
Wednesday Mystery Boost (DK)
I got Jesse Winker to hit a HR boosted to +530. Pass for me, HR boosts and betting players to hit a HR are a way to lose cash, fast.
PHI/LAD/CIN to all win +450 (Fox)
This is also a pretty good one. All three are favored, but two of them are smaller favorites. I am not looking to bet several ML parlay’s on the same night. Pass for me, but you can fire, as this should pay +377.
NBA
DEN +6
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 73-62 54.07%
NBA Playoff Record 11-7 61.11%
Hoops Parlay Record 45-37 +604
Hoops Odds Boosts 62-115 +1650
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Playoff Record 27-20 57.44%
NBA Model Highest Rated 72-65 52.55%
NBA Model 503-479 51.22%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 22-39 -055
Baseball Games 7-10 -551
Baseball Parlay Record 6-9 +466
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030