This is a very strange night in the NBA. The East is set and ready to go, while the West is in flux. The times of the games is almost as strange as the events in the West. Portland and Denver will tip at 5:15 PM Local time, which is of course 8:15 in the East. This is a very weird start time and I am not completely sure how we ended up with two Western Conference games on the same night like this. I have not and will continue to not believe in the Blazers. Dame did everything he could and he only missed seven shots, yet, the Blazers lost. I know Portland at home is a different animal. I believe the Nuggets know exactly whom they are and what they need to do. I am on Denver tonight.
Will Anthony Davis play tonight? He has to right. Right? Everyone who has played DFS NBA knows that AD is often injured and has left more games early than plenty of other players. The Lakers need Davis to not only show up tonight, but also be good. If AD is not 100%, the Suns will win and create and very interesting Western Conference bracket. I said it felt weird to go against LeBron in game five and it feels just as weird here. Frankly, I cannot do it. I am just passing on the game, but the computer model likes the Suns.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
PHO +2.5
DEN +5 (Highest Rated in the Model)
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 NO Thanks Fan Duel
Dame and Jokic to combine for 70+ points +170 (FD)
Dame’s point prop is set to 33.5 and the over is juiced.
Jokic’s point prop is set to 32.5 and the under I juiced.
Obviously, this is a few points over each players prop and I hate these combined wagers. You are better off, as usual, betting the overs and parlaying them as it is likely they both need to get there. Pass for me.
Dame to score 10+ in the 4th Quarter +450 (DK)
I am out on timed boosts like this. What if Dame drops 40 in the first three quarters and the Blazers are up 25? There are tons of things that can happen to prevent the fourth quarter from mattering. Pass for me.
LeBron to score over 35.5 points and the Lakers to win +450 (DK)
LeBron’s points prop is set to 29.5 and the over is juiced. This parlay should play +338. This is a very solid boost, except I have my doubts about the LeBron portion. For the Lakers to win AD must play. If he plays then LeBron does not need to score 36+ points. What I am trying to say is, this is a boost I would pass on. LeBron may get there, but for the Lakers to win AD will play and he will have a larger role in the offense. Pass.
Dame and Jokic to score 30+ points each +200 (Fox)
Dame’s point prop is set to 33.5 and the over is juiced.
Jokic’s point prop is set to 32.5 and the under I juiced.
This should pay -106. This is an easy wager. Both players are expected to go over in this competitive game. In addition, I hope your max bet is more than mine is. I am in.
Portland and Phoenix to both win +250 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +224. I have my doubts about the Suns tonight, but I have more doubts about the Blazers. I am passing here.
Dame to score 40+ and Portland to win +375 (Barstool)
Dame’s point prop is set to 33.5 and the over is juiced.
Dame is +280 to score 40+ points.
This parlay should pay +340. I mean, it is a small boost and you can play it, but I am passing. I have missed on three games in this series, but I like Denver and the points tonight. I am passing here.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
CWS/Cubs to both win +245 (DK)
This should pay +213. They always try to sneak a dog into these parlays and they did it again here with the Cubs. I believe that people must not even look at these boosts and blindly bet them. Pass for me.
PIT/LAA/SDP to all win +450 (Fox)
This should pay +395. This features two favorites and my Pittsburgh Pirates. Imagine wagering any money on the Pirates, ever. This is an easy pass because of the Pirates being included. Pass.
NBA
Denver +5
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 71-60 53.43%
NBA Playoff Record 9-5 64.28%
Hoops Parlay Record 45-37 +604
Hoops Odds Boosts 61-109 +2150
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Playoff Record 25-16 60.97%
NBA Model Highest Rated 71-64 52.59%
NBA Model 500-475 51.28%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 21-39 -360
Baseball Games 7-10 -551
Baseball Parlay Record 5-9 +161
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030
Win The Weekends 