Last night was nice, 1-0 on odds boost and 2-0 on NBA plays. The NBA having four games tonight is fantastic and I wish every night was like this.
Tonight I think the Sixers win a very tight game to give Joel Embiid some rest. The Hawks close out the Knicks as New York does not have enough offense. Utah ends their series as well and the Grizzlies are a team everyone likes as a sleeper next year. I want to believe that Dallas plays well and stays with the Clippers. I hope that Luka is not that injured. I am willing to take the value on Dallas and find out.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
WAS +6
ATL +1
UTA -9.5
DAL +7.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
JA to lead the game in scoring +275 (FD)
Now, I understand he could easily do this, but I do not ever want to back someone on the team that is expected to lose. Moreover, Mitchell’s point prop is two-points higher. Fade this one.
Luka -1.5 Pts+Assists+Rebounds vs Kawhi +110 (FD)
There is a chance Luka is hurt and if that is the case, I want no parts of this again. Pass for me. Luka’s combo is set to 45.5. Kawhi’s is set to 44.5, so this really close. I will not back the guy who is hurt, against the player that has been crushing this entire series.
Knicks to win the first quarter and game +230 (FD)
The Hawks are just better and I am so far off the Knicks now.
Rose and Randle to score 50+ Combined +250 (DK)
Randle’s point prop is set to 23.5.
Rose’e point prop is set to 19.5.
I cannot in any way invest in the Knicks at this time. Besides the fact, they are expected to score several points under what is needed here. Pass for me.
PG under 25.5 points and Mavs to win +640 (DK)
I do not like rooting for both sides of a wager like this.
This should pay +583, but I am passing. AS I said, I do not want to root for both sides here and wagers like this.
Luka and Kawhi to score 25+ +100 (Fox)
Luka and Kawhi to score 30+ +280 (Barstool)
Luka’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Kawhi’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the under is ever so slightly juiced.
The Fox boost is an easy one to get behind as that parlay should pay -155. I am in.
The Barstool boost is a little trickier. It should pay +237, but if Luka is hurt, both guys may not see the entire game. I realize that 25 and 30 are both large numbers, but if we have learned from the Nets, 25 is much more achievable in a game that may get out of hand. In addition, I hope your max bet is larger than mine. I do think in this case that it is worth the risk on the Barstool boost. I hope Luka is heathy and Dallas stays in the game. Since his prop is so close, I am willing to take the risk here. I am in on both.
NYK/UTA/LAC to all win +240 (Fox)
I will not put the Knicks into anything at this point. This should pas +191 though. Pass for me.
Trae and Mitchell to score 30+ each +650 (Fox)
Mitchell’s points prop is set to 27.5.
Trae’s points prop is set to 25.5.
This combo parlayed together should pay +638. This is barely a boost and asking both guys to go over by several points. This is a pass for me.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Everything is related to the early games that I saw.
NBA
DAL +7.5
An injured Luka? Well, here we go. I have Dallas to win the series and the Mavs in 6, so might as well add a little more on them tonight.
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 70-60 53.84%
NBA Playoff Record 8-5 61.53%
Hoops Parlay Record 45-37 +604
Hoops Odds Boosts 61-107 +2350
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Playoff Record 22-15 59.45%
NBA Model Highest Rated 71-64 52.59%
NBA Model 497-474 51.18%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 21-39 -360
Baseball Games 7-10 -551
Baseball Parlay Record 5-9 +161
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030
Win The Weekends 