I will say it is weird having the Mavs +320 and Mavs in six at +900. I find myself now rooting for the Clippers to go 1-1 in games 3-4 and then win game five so the Mavs can close it out in six games. Is that being too greedy? Maybe. I could just hope the Mavs finish it and collect my +220 after losing the correct games wager. Yet, when it is out there and can happen, I want it.
Tonight the Sixers should win. Utah, should win. The Knicks, well I believe they will win. It is possible the Knicks have already achieved what they will this season and just making the playoffs was a huge step forward. I do believe Randle will play better tonight and Thibs will adjust the Knicks defense to drag the game even more into the mud.
Draft Kings also has a bet get bonus. Every day you bet $25+ on NBA you get a $5 free bet. I know for me, I love getting these tiny free bets and throwing them on something that is high variance like golf.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
PHI -8
NYK -2
UTA -9
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Trae +0.5 Pts/Reb/Ast Vs. Randle +150 (FD)
Randle’s prop is set to 41.5.
Trae Young’s prop is set to 40.5 and the over is juiced.
These two are almost even, but you do get the added boost of having Trae at +150.
Trae had 49 in game one and Randle had 37. There is no way Randle shoots as poorly as he did in game one where he was six out of 23. While you can fire and this makes sense here to do so, I am skeptical. This is a must win game for the Knicks. Randle will play better and the Knicks defensive approach on Trae will be different in game two. I have to believe the Knicks win and it will be because Randle outplays Trae tonight. I am passing, but you can fire.
NYK to win the first quarter and game +230 (FD)
This makes sense if you want to bet it. The Knicks are -120 to win the first quarter and -130 to win the game. My concern with these bets are always that the team is not urgently trying to win the first quarter. Pass for me.
Randle and Trae to score 25+ points each +240 (DK)
Trae’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced.
Randle’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced.
This parlay should pay +166. Like I said above, both guys will shoot more than enough to have a chance to score. I think both guys can get there despite the low total of 213 points. Randle is going to play well and even in a loss, or bad shooting game Trae can get 25 points. I am in here.
Sixers/Knicks/Jazz to all win +225 (Fox)
This should pay +173. I think the Sixers win. I think the Jazz get back on track. I think the Knicks get it done. Certainly, I would rarely advocate for the Knicks in such a tight spread, but this is a game they absolutely have to have. I fully realize this is taking a small two-point dog in a parlay, but I like the other two to win. I am in.
Embiid to score 25+ and Sixers to win +100 (Fox)
Embiid’s point prop is set to 32.5. The Sixers are large favorites and should handle their business tonight. I mean, this is so far below his prop and the Sixers should win, I am in. As per usual, I hope your max bet is larger than mine is on this one.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
ATL/NYM/LAD +650 (Fox)
This should pay +587. However, the Braves are dogs in Boston and both of the other two are tiny favorites. Pass for me. Every day they add a dog in this parlay odds boosts trying to lure people in.
NBA
UTA -9
Mitchell is back and they will bounce back at home.
NYK -2
Oh, you know they will have some adjustments and fix their issues. If I bet that parlay boost, I have to take them alone right?
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 66-57 53.65%
NBA Playoff Record 4-2 66.66%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +379
Hoops Odds Boosts 60-101 +2750
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 71-61 53.78%
NBA Model 485-464 51.10%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 21-38 -260
Baseball Games 7-10 -551
Baseball Parlay Record 5-8 +261
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030
Win The Weekends 