Draft Kings has a free money boost everyone should bet. Bet over on the Clippers/Mavs game one and you will win $25. For everyone that bets the over, the total comes down for everyone. You know the drill on how these work. By the end of it the total will be so low, it will hit in the first half. Go collect your free $25.
Draft Kings also has a bet get bonus. Every day you bet $25+ on NBA you get a $5 free bet. I know for me, I love getting these tiny free bets and throwing them on something that is high variance like golf. I am sure you know we have made a few PGA wagers for this week.
Draft Kings is really bringing it this week. They are also offering a daily 25% profit boost for the PGA Championship, with a max bet of $50. Considering the other major sites are offering nothing, this is fantastic. I used this on Morikawa today at +1500. I know the wind is getting worse, but I liked him before hand and I still do.
I am going away on Saturday for a night so; most likely, I will not have a post then. I can answer questions on Twitter and will post my bets.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
Friday
GSW -3.5
Saturday
MIA +5
DAL +5
BRK -7.5
DEN -1 (Highest Rated in Model)
Sunday
NYK -1.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
LAL +3
WAS +7.5
TBD
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Curry to score 40+ points +140 (FD)
Curry to score 40+ and the Warriors to win +200 (Barstool)
Curry to make 5+ 3’s +100 (Fox)
Curry to make 7+ 3’s and Warriors to win +230 (DK)
I am just going to look at all these curry boosts at once.
Curry’s point prop is set to 38.5.
Curry’s made 3’s prop is set to 6.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Curry is +110 to score 40+ points.
Curry is -550 to make 5+ 3’s. Fire away on the Fox Bet Boost. I am betting it. My max bet is $10. Lame.
Curry to score 40+ and the Warriors to win should pay +159.
Curry to make 7+ 3’s and the Warriors to win should pay +170.
To clarify, all of these are boosts and pay nicely. Curry’s expected baseline is 38 points and 6 made threes. For him to hit all of these he needs to make one more three, which of course would assist in him getting to 40+. I will also add the likelihood the Warriors lose with Curry scoring 40+ is extremely slim.
Curry against Memphis this year, one game, 46 points and nine made 3’s. This game was Sunday. Curry has made 7+ threes in five of his last eight games. My only real concern here is that the total for this game is only 221.5 points. Curry will shoot 17+ threes this game provided it is competitive and it should be. All of these are fair. All of these can be attainable. The downside is you can lose them all if something goes wrong. In a weird way, this is a path to bet more than the max on each boost. I am in the camp of no way the Warriors lose this game. I am in. For all of them.
KD and Kyrie to score 25+ points +305 (DK)
KD’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +275. While this is a slight boost, I want to see how the Nets shake out with all three people playing. There is also a chance that this is not competitive because the Celtics have been bad frankly most of the year. Pass for me.
Dame to score 30+ and Portland to win +270 (DK)
Backing Portland in Denver seems scary, but the price of this series is bizarre in itself. This combo should pay +227. You can fire, but I hate it. This series may go seven games, but I am not backing Portland in game one against the Nuggets. Pass for me.
Sixers to win the East +600 (Barstool)
This is a max bet of $25 and I am in. I think the Sixers make the finals and can win the title.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYY and ATL to both win +230 (FD)
This should pay +184. The CWS are very good despite their manager. Atlanta lost to the Pirates last night and should bounce back tonight. If I am correct, the CWS own lefty pitchers. I think they have won something like 16 games in a row against them. Pass for me.
MIL/ATL/OAK +450 (Fox)
I mean at least they are all favorites even if one is very tiny. This should pay +428. As usual, if you liked this before fire away, but I am passing.
NYY/TEX/DET to all win +875 (Barstool)
I mean, never bet on the Tigers. I mentioned the NYY already. Pass.
NBA
GSW/MIL/BRK/PHI ML parlay for tonight and this weekend +268
Oh I love this. The Bucks are secretly better than last year. Philly is well rested and Brooklyn will beat the sad Celtics. Need to start it off tonight with the Warriors.
MLB
ATL -205
ATL -1.5 runs +105
Let’s Get Weird
GSW and Atlanta Braves ML Parlay +118
The Braves are not losing two in a row to the Pirates.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 64-56 53.33%
NBA Playoff Record 2-1 66.66%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-38 +479
Hoops Odds Boosts 56-96 +2575
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 70-59 54.26%
NBA Model 477-458 51.01%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 19-37 -306
Baseball Games 5-9 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 5-8 +261
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030
Win The Weekends 