Basketball and Baseball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus NBA Computer Model Plays 5-20-2021

Draft Kings has a free money boost everyone should bet. Bet over on the Clippers/Mavs game one and you will win $25. For everyone that bets the over, the total comes down for everyone. You know the drill on how these work. By the end of it the total will be so low, it will hit in the first half. Go collect your free $25.

Draft Kings also has a bet get bonus. Every day you bet $25+ on NBA you get a $5 free bet. I know for me, I love getting these tiny free bets and throwing them on something that is high variance like golf. I am sure you know we have made a few PGA wagers for this week.

Draft Kings is really bringing it this week. They are also offering a daily 25% profit boost for the PGA Championship, with a max bet of $50. Considering the other major sites are offering nothing, this is fantastic.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
Thursday
WAS -3

Friday
GSW -3.5

Saturday
MIA +5
DAL +5
BRK -7.5
DEN -1 (Highest Rated in Model)

Sunday
NYK -1.5
LAL +3

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 On Fan Duel and you already know, I am passing.


240+ Points IND/WAS +150 (FD)
These two have played some track meet type games recently. When I say they were fast, I mean they were 295 and 265 fast. This game has a total of 237.5 and of course, how can you bet the under here with what they have done recently? I am in on this.


KD and Kyrie to score 25+ points +305 (DK)
KD’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +275. While this is a slight boost, I want to see how the Nets shake out with all three people playing. There is also a chance that this is not competitive because the Celtics have been bad frankly most of the year. Pass for me.



Sabonis and Russ to score over 55 combined points +200 (DK)
Russ’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the over is juiced.
Sabonis’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the under is juiced.
Both players are expected to fall short of this combined.
Sabonis scored 32 and 30 points in their last two games.
Russ scored 14 and 33 points in their last two games.
Obviously, there is a wide range of outcomes here, but Russ may not score that much with Beal in theory healthier. I am passing here. This is asking the over to hit for both players and then some. Pass.

Sabonis and Russ to both record a triple-double +215 (Barstool)
Russ is an insane -480 to record a triple-double.
Sabonis is +125 to record a triple-double.
This should pay +171 or so if you can parlay it together.
Both guys did this in the last two meetings and I would expect more of the same. Sabonis will be asked to do even more without Caris LeVert. I am in.



Sixers to win the East +600 (Barstool)
This is a max bet of $25 and I am in. I think the Sixers make the finals and can win the title.


MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
ATL/TOR to both win +200 (FD)
Why are the same few teams involved in boosts today? Seems fishy right?
This should pay +160, but the Red Sox are on fire. While the Blue Jays are favored, I am not interested in going against Boston tonight. Pass for me.

PIT/PHI to both win +435 (DK)
Not only would you be betting on the Pirates, but in a parlay no less. This should pay +403, but this is an easy pass for me.


PHI/ATL/TOR to all win +400 (Fox)
This should pay +380, so it is a smaller boost. I am all for betting against the Pirates, but not interested in attacking the Red Sox. Pass.




Pirates to win +190 (Barstool)
Imagine wagering any dollars on this Pirates team. Pass.


NBA
WAS -3.5

MLB
ATL -1.5 runs +100



Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 63-56 52.94%
NBA Playoff Record 1-1 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-38 +479
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-95 +2525
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 70-59 54.26%
NBA Model 476-458 50.96%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 19-36 -206
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 5-8 +261
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030

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