Tonight should be fun. The Lakers should handle the Warriors and advance, but they have not played together in a meaningful game in months. My guess is the Lakers are too strong and the Warriors struggle, unless Curry goes wild, which is in play.
Draft Kings has a free money boost everyone should bet. Bet over on the Clippers/Mavs game one and you will win $25. For everyone that bets the over, the total comes down for everyone. You know the drill on how these work. By the end of it the total will be so low, it will hit in the first half. Go collect your free $25.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
MEM -4
GSW +6 (Highest Rated in Model)
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
DDR to lead the game in scoring +175 (FD)
Based on points props, DDR is expected to lead the game in scoring. Is it weird to bet a dog to be the highest scorer? DDR lead the game in scoring in one of three games against Memphis this year. I am passing because I do not have a feel for this game at all. You could tell me anything happens here. Pass.
Curry and LeBron to combine for 70+ +240 (FD)
Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5.
LeBron’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced.
If you add those up it should land at 62 total points.
Per usual I hate these combo props. I would rather play one versus the other. This one is asking them to go over by eight points, which as you know is a lot. Pass for me.
Curry and LeBron to combine for 64+ points +100 (Fox)
Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5.
LeBron’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced.
If you add those up it should land at 62 total points.
At least this is closer to where it should be, but the payout is much less. I mean you could just go for it and hope Curry goes bonkers, but I am scared of the Lakers. Pass for me.
Simmons Bird Boost Curry -5.5 points+Rebounds+assists vs. LeBron +100 (FD)
Curry’s combo is set to 48.5.
LeBron’s combo is set to 42.5.
In this case, you get an edge by one and it pays even money? Sure, why not. We know Curry is going to do a lot tonight. MY only worry is the Warriors start to get beat, and it turns into a run away. I am in here.
GSW/LAL 2+ 3’s made in first 3 minutes +145 (DK)
What is this? Doing this on FD was not enough so DK had to swoop in. I realize these hit. However, I cannot. Just look at the issue Fan Duel had last night where people were arguing with when a ball went through the hoop. Why even deal with that? Pass.
SAS/MEM 2+ 3’s made in first 3 minutes +260 (DK)
At least DK is changing this up depending upon the game. You guys can go and play these, I will keep passing. I doubt DK introduced them because they expect to lose money on them.
Ja to score 25+ points +220 (DK)
Ja’s point prop is set to 21.5 and the under is juiced.
Ja is +188 to score 25+ points tonight.
Ja is not exactly a big time scorer, even in a spot like this. This is asking him to go over his prop by several points. I am passing. It is a slight boost and Ja’s scoring has been inconsistent this year. Pass.
MEM/LAL to both win +170 (DK)
This should pay +120. You can fire on this solid boost. You get the two favorites and they are expected to win. I am passing. I have no feel for these games, especially the Lakers. Pass.
MEM/GSW to both win +370 (Fox)
This should pay +364, so it is barely a boost. I am passing here as well. For me to feel like I have to play it, I need more from a boost.
SAS/GSW to both win +685 (Barstool)
This should pay +651. It is a smaller boost considering you are asking both dogs to win. I am passing. Like I said no feel for these games. I know what the model is saying, but with the Lakers who knows.
Curry to score 40+ points +200 (DK)
Curry is +178 to score 40+ on FD. If you think, he is going to go wild and win this game, go for it. I am passing. The Warriors will need a heroic Curry effort and this could go sideways. Pass.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
PHI/ATL/WAS +375 (Fox)
This should pay +348. You do have three favorites in this combo, so if you like it go ahead. I am passing. I want the boost to pay a little more. Pass for me.
NBA
Nothing at this time.
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 63-56 52.94%
NBA Playoff Record 1-1 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-38 +479
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-94 +2625
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 69-59 53.90%
NBA Model 475-458 50.91%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 19-36 -206
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 5-8 +261
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030
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