Basketball and Baseball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus NBA Computer Model Plays 5-18-2021

Draft Kings has a free money boost everyone should bet. Bet over on the Clippers/Mavs game one and you will win $25. For everyone that bets the over, the total comes down for everyone. You know the drill on how these work. By the end of it the total will be so low, it will hit in the first half. Go collect your free $25.

Caris LeVert is now out for the Pacers due to health and safety protocols. I honestly, cannot fathom why he would not already be vaccinated. He might cost his team a playoff spot. I thought the Pacers would handle the Hornets, now it is in jeopardy.

When the LeVert news broke, I know one of the sites had both dogs to win odds boost. I guessed it was Draft Kings and was wrong. By the time, I got to Fox Bet, where it was, the boost had been pulled. I tried to rush, but failed. Always be aware when news breaks like this to act quickly and decisively.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
IND -1.5
WAS +2
MEM -4
GSW +5 (Highest Rated in Model)

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Beal and Tatum to combine for 65+ points +150 (FD)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 32.5.
This is a few points over each players prop, even combined. I hate the combined ones, honestly. Maybe if this was 63+ then I would be interested. In this case I am passing. A parlay of them to score 65+ would obviously pay more, but Beal’s health is in question. He might be healthy he might not. He has torched the Celtics this year for 40+ points.



Beal to record 45+ points/rebounds/assists +210 (DK)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Beal’s rebound prop is set to 4.5 and the over is juiced.
Beal’s assist prop is set to 3.5 and the over is very heavily juiced.
Beal’s combo of all three is set to 40.5 and the under is juiced. Yes, Beal is capable of scoring 45 real life points on his own, but you are taking a bigger risk here. Beal needs to go over his combo by several points, not to mention the heal concerns. I am fine risking one boost on his health, but after that it becomes more risky. The boost I selected is the best boost and asking Beal to do the least. Pass for me.



LaMelo to score 20+ points and Hornets to win +560 (DK)
LaMelo’s point prop is set to 16.5.
Ball to score 20+ pays +194. This parlay should pay +376. While this is a boost, the Hornets closed the season by losing five in a row and have been awful since the Gordon Hayward injury. I am passing.


WAS/IND to both win +295 (DK)
This parlay should pay +291. I know these odds have shifted due to LeVert being out. While his absence will matter, TJ has played very well when given minutes. This is more a bet against the Hornets, than on the Pacers. I have to pass here since this is such a small boost, but I do like this combo to win. I am out here.

MEM/LAL to both win +170 (DK)
You will have to come back tomorrow for this one!



LaMelo and Beal to combine for 50+ points +100 (Fox)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
LaMelo’s point prop is set to 16.5.
I think Beal gets his 30+, but LaMelo and the Hornets have struggled down the stretch. I am passing here as the Hornets just have not been great.

Beal and Tatum to each score 30+ points +200 (Barstool)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 32.5.
Both players are expected to score at or around 30+ points. This parlay should pay +136. Provided Beal is healthy and that is a risk, he has scored at will against the Celtics this year. We know Tatum has a bigger scoring workload without Jaylen Brown. I am using the boost here to justify the risk of Beal’s heal. I am in.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
BAL/TOR/STL to all win +700 (DK)
Two small favorites and one small dog in this combo. It should pay +615. Yes, it is a boost, but pass for me. I swear they pick names out of a hat here.


BAL/WAS/NYY to all win +650 (Fox)
Two small favorites and one small dog again. Do you sense the trend? They are just begging you to take a dog in a parlay. I know dogs have been solid in baseball, but yeah no way am I doing this. This should pay +607. Pass.


SF/TB/CWS/OAK/SEA/SDP to all win +4650 (Barstool)
What in the world is this? This should pay +3188, so yeah it is a massive boost. However, why? I mean why are you betting this. Are you bored? Do you want to waste $5 for entertainment and hope it hits? Pass.

Celtics and CLE to both win +285 (Barstool)
I mean, I think the Celts lose. Pass.


NBA
WAS +2
Beal has owned Boston and the Celtics are dying for the season to end. Losing two games in three days is a much faster exit than a 7-game series.

IND -1.5
Hornets lost their last five games. The Pacers closed 5-5 down the stretch but I like them tonight. TJ plays just fine and they win.


MLB
NYY/SDP ML parlay +140



Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 62-55 52.99%
NBA Playoff Record 0-0 0%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-93 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 69-59 53.90%
NBA Model 474-457 50.91%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 18-36 -346
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 4-8 +121
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-21 +030

Leave a comment