Basketball and Baseball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus NBA Computer Model Plays 5-14-2021

Everyone gets a free $5.14 bet on Draft Kings today. The books clearly do not want to offer odds boost when people are resting and motivation is in flux. There are so few offered today.

To summarize
Teams still playing tonight: Wizards, Sixers (Need 1 win), Jazz, and DAL.
Teams that do not need to win tonight: Cavs, Pistons, Magic, OKC, HOU, MEM (game against GSW will determine 8-seed), SAC, TOR, NOP, GSW (Game against MEM will determine 8-seed) Denver/LAC both appear to be taking tonight off in some ways.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
WAS -8 (Highest Rated in Model)
DET +8.5
UTA -14.5
PHI -14
HOU +10
MEM -6.5
TOR +14 (Even with adjustments some of these teams grade out well because the spread has changed greatly.)
NOP +2.5

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic or Porter first basket +275 (FD)
I do not bet these ever.


Bet $25 on NBA future get a $5 free bet for ever round they win (DK)
The Sixers are the ones to easily win two rounds and get $10 back. Pick the team you like the best and use this.

Sixers/Grizz/Warriors to all win +200 (Fox)
Before saying what this should pay, the Warriors are and Grizzlies are playing for nothing. When they play Sunday, it will determine the 8-seed in the Western Conference. Proceed at your own risk. This should pay +154. I am passing.

Sixers/Clippers/Warriors to all win +165 (Barstool)
I already said it about the Warriors and the Clippers and Nuggets are almost officially locked into the ¾ seed. Be very careful in these spots. This should pay +119. I am passing.


MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kluber 5+ K’s and NYY win +135 (DK)
Kluber’s K prop is set to 5.5 and the over is juiced.
This parlay should pay around +145. This is obviously not a boost worth investing in if the combo should pay more than this does. Easy Pass.

NYY/DET/TB to all win +475 (Fox)
The Tigers are a dog today and this parlay should pay +418. I mean, I guess you can play this with the NYY and Rays being larger favorites, but I am never betting on the Tigers.

TB/WAS/LAD to all win +300 (Barstool)
This features three great pitchers, who are all large favorites. This parlay should pay +242. I am in here. I get the best pitchers in each game and a boost. Fire this one up.


NBA
WAS -8
Cavs will not mess up and win another game. Wiz need one more to clinch.



MLB
Nothing at this time.



Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 60-54 52.63%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 55-93 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 68-59 53.54%
NBA Model 459-449 50.49%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 17-35 -546
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-20 +130

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