Basketball and Baseball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus NBA Computer Model Plays 5-13-2021

Several teams are technically alive for some seeding potential, but really. The Kings are not technically eliminated, but they will be after tonight. Tonight should, or could eliminate several more teams and make the final weekends motivations very clear. While the Sixers do not have the no.1 seed locked up for sure, they need one win in their last three games and they finish with Orlando twice. Therefore, the Sixers can clearly rest Embiid tonight and not really worry about it, as they will win at least one of those final two games.

To summarize
Teams still playing tonight: Clippers, Hornets, Bucks, Pacers, Hawks, Heat, Spurs, Knicks, Nuggets, Kings, Grizzlies, Bulls, Blazers, and Suns.
Teams that do not need to win tonight: Magic, Sixers, Wolves, and Raptors.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
CHA +7.5
MIL -9
ORL +12.5
NYK -4.5
MIA -2.5
MEM -8
TOR +10
DEN -4.5
PHO -4.5 (Highest Rated in Model)




NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel has two different 3×2 boosts because they hate me.



ATL/MEM/MIL to all win -106 (DK)
This should pay -124. This is a boost despite it not paying plus money. Oddly, all three need to win and are playing teams that may not have as much motivation. The Kings are not dead, but are all but dead. The Magic are playing for ping-pong balls. The Pacers could try to win, but Caris Levert is now questionable as well. I am going to roll with this provided no news breaks and makes it bad. This is a small boost, but all three are sizable favorites. I am in.



Dame to make 3+ 3’s and Blazers to win +285 (DK)
Dame’s made 3’s prop is set to 3.5 and the under is juiced. This parlay should pay +214. This seems like a good spot on the surface, but this is a road back-to-back for the Blazers. The Suns do still have a chance at the one seed out west. I kind of like the Suns tonight, so this is a pass for me.



Sixers/NYK/Grizz to all win +300 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +321. This is a trap, as the Sixers do not need this game at all. Could they win it? Sure, but it means nothing to them. Pass.



LAC/MIL/DEN to all win +190 (Barstool)
This should pay +169. The Nuggets may sit MPJ tonight, as he is listed questionable. I am scared of Denver tonight as they are all but locked into the four seed. I am passing here.


Dame and Booker to each score 25+ points +140 (Barstool)
Dame’s point prop is set to 28.5.
Booker’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced.
This combo should pay +116. This is a boost and both players are expected to get over this number. I am in.



NYY and NYK to both win +170 (Barstool)
This should pay +164. This is not much of a boost obviously. The NYY are small road favorites and I am not a fan of risking for this little of a boost unless I like it. Pass.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Boston and Houston to both win +240 (FD)
This should pay +182. The Astros are large favorites and the Red Sox are small favorites. Houston is a safe play and Boston has been on fire, despite the three-game skid they are on. This was close, but I am passing.  

Kelenic to record a hit and Mariners to win +280 (DK)
This guy is supposed to be this big rookie call-up. This parlay should pay +159. While this is a massive boost, you are asking a kid to get a hit in his MLB debut and the Mariners to win a game with a tight spread. Pass for me.


SF/A’s to both win +235 (DK)
This should pay +217. Ehh, again this is right on the border as the A’s are in a coin-flip game with the Red Sox. I am out.

HOU/NYY/BOS to all win +425 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +395. This is a tiny boost compared to the payout in my mind. Normally, with the boosts as the payout rises, the size of the boost does as well. In this case, it is small, comparatively. I am passing.



NBA
MIA -2.5
The Heat need this game badly to be in the 4/5 range.



MLB
Nothing at this time.



Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 59-54 52.21%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 54-92 +2725
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 68-58 53.96%
NBA Model 457-443 50.77%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 17-35 -546
Baseball Games 5-8 -497
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 9-20 +130

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