There are several items to be aware of before the games start tonight. The Pelicans are dropping out of playoff contention because of injuries and rest. The Spurs all but clinch a play-in birth now. The Kings are lurking, but they have their own issues. This is why the Mavs are such big favorites tonight. Boston is going to be the 7-seed and thus can rest people to prepare for the playoffs without Jaylen Brown. With a win and a Blazers loss, the Lakers can move into a tie to avoid the play-in. The Blazers have the tiebreaker though.
To summarize
Teams still playing tonight: Wiz, Hawks, Spurs, Nets, Mavs, Blazers, Jazz, and Lakers.
Teams that do not need to win tonight: Celts, Cavs, Pels, and Rockets.
As strange as it is, when did Barstool end up with the best boosts? That seems to be happening more often.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
WAS +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
BRK -5.5
CLE +6
DAL -9
UTA -1
LAL -11.5 (Every Laker is now questionable, but they need this game.)
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This is 40 Boost Was/Atl +165 (FD)
This paid almost twice as much last week. I think they know what they have in this game between these two. When they played earlier this week, 249 points were scored, including the Wizards dropping 45 points in the fourth. These are the perfect two teams for this boost. I am in.
3+ FG’s made in first 3 minutes Uta/Por +380 (FD)
I am out on time boosts like this. Again, show me the data on how many threes each team takes in the first three minutes. Pass.
Dame over 9.5 1st Quarter points and Blazers to win +370 (DK)
Why? Why are they doing the first quarter boost? Pass on all timed boosts like this.
Russ/Dame/Trae to score 25+ +175 (Fox)
Russ’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Trae’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Dame’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
All three players are expected to score above 25+ points tonight.
This seems like a great boost right. Nope. This should pay +185. This went from an easy play to an easy pass. I am out.
Wiz/Nets/Mavs to all win +500 (Fox)
This should pay +459. I do like the Wizards and think the other two win. I wish this were a larger boost however. Pass for me.
Russ and Trae to combine for 100+ Points+Rebounds+Assists +100 (Barstool)
Russ’s combo is set to 54.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Trae’s combo is set to 42.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Obviously, using our brilliant powers of addition, we can see combined they are expected to be at 97 total. Yet, with both lines juiced, this becomes more interesting.
When they played the other night Russ finished with a combo of 62. Trae finished with a combo of 51. As you can tell that is 113. This number looks attainable at based on history and where their props lie. I suppose the worry here is that the Hawks shoot lights out and the Wizards fall behind. Russ will not let that happen. I am in.
225+ points in all games Was/Atl + SA/BRK + Por/UTA +180 (Barstool)
The Total in all these games are 233 or more. If you used some alternate totals and parlayed them, it should pay +122. In this case, we are getting a significant break on all three numbers. The boost pays out a lot more than it should. This is an easy one to jump on. I am in.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Cole 10+ K’s and NYY to win +200 (FD)
The NYY are almost -200 favorites tonight. Cole’s strike out prop is set to 9.5 and the over is heavily juiced. This parlay should pay +162. I like boosts that ask a player to do something they have been doing often and their team to win, when they are expected to. I am in here!
Cole to record 12+ K’s +215 (DK)
This is right around the number it should be for this many strikeouts. While I do like the other boost quite a bit, this is asking him to go over his prop by two extra strikeouts. Cole has been at 12+ K’s in two of his seven starts this year. In his one matchup with the Rays Cole had exactly 10 strikeouts. Pass for me.
NYY/STL/MIN to all win +805 (DK)
Would you parlay two dogs and one favorite? I would not but that is the DK parlay boost way. This boost should pay +770. This is an easy pass for me.
NYY/PHI/ATL +400 (Fox)
All three are favored, which is a nice change for these parlays. However, this boost should pay +380. That is an easy pass for me. If I am on a boost, it must be a larger percentage that is boosted and not anything this tiny, unless I was betting it before seeing the boost.
NBA
BRK -5.5
WAS +6.5
MLB
Cole over 9.5 K’s -125 (DK)
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 57-54 51.35%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-90 +2825
Hoops Player Props 4-4 +330
NBA Model Highest Rated 67-58 53.6%
NBA Model 453-441 50.67%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070
Win The Weekends 