The end of the NBA season is a grind. This week is going to be weird. Teams will be have something to play for, until they do not. I know that sounds weird. Nevertheless, it is possible the Nuggets become locked into their position before the end of the week. They may have two games that do not matter. I will try to mention if people are tankers, or are trying to stay in a spot.
I realize that Beal is out for the Wizards, but I remain skeptical of the Hawks. Both teams needs to keep winning as the Wizards can actually get to the 8-seed perhaps. Some of these boosts will tempt my Wizards love and Hawks hate.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
WAS +8 (Highest Rated in the model)
IND -8.5 (Pacers might be getting healthy, Cavs tanking)
NOP +9 (No Zion, no BI. Memphis can get to the 8-seed; Pelicans have a chance at 10-seed.)
MIL 7.5 (Bucks can still become 2-seed. Spurs holding on to 10-seed barely in West.)
UTA -2 (Jazz trying to keep 1-seed. Warriors have danger of falling to 9-seed.)
POR -14.5 (Rockets have gone full tank! Portland trying to hold on to 6-seed.)
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Giannis to score 30+ and Bucks to win +260 (FD)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Giannis to score 30+ is +120.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +163. This is a boost, but it is asking Giannis to go over his prop by a few points. To me this comes down to if you think the game will be competitive. The Bucks have been playing much better and Giannis has been asked to do even less at times in terms of scoring. I think the Bucks roll here and I am passing. You can fire if you want to, but Giannis has only scored 30+ in five of his last 13 games. Pass for me.
Curry and Dame to combine for 12+ made 3’s +210 (FD)
Curry’s made threes prop is set to 6.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Dame’s made threes prop is set to 3.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Dame has a massive blowout threat against the Rockets tonight. Because of the blowout chances, Lillard may not see his full complement of minutes. I think to get to 12+ Curry has to make seven and Dame five to get close. If you parlay that combo it pays +423. As usual, I hate these combo props. Yes, the combo makes it easier, but I think Curry going wild is more likely to assist you to get there. Pass on this prop.
Russ to score 30+ and Wizards to win +780 (DK)
Russ’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Russ is +146 to score 30+.
Russ to score 30+ parlayed with the Wizards to win should pay +595. This is a solid boost. I think Russ goes wild. Asking this big of a dog to win is a big ask, but it is worth a small sprinkle. I am in.
Curry to record 4+ made 3’s and Warriors win +160 (DK)Curry is -1450 to make 4+ threes. Yes, that is a real number. If you parlay the over and the Warriors it pays +111. I am in on this! Fire it up!
Mem/MIL/UTA to all win +200 (Fox)
This should pay +187. While Memphis and Milwaukee are solid money line bets, taking the Jazz against the Warriors on the road without Donovan Mitchell is a pass for me. This is barely a boost and not worth the risk of taking the Jazz on the road. Pass.
Russ/Giannis/Dame to score 25+ +200 (Fox)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Russ’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Dame’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced.
I was hopeful this would be a solid boost, but it should pay +229. This is an easy pass for me.
Russ triple-double and Wizards to win +400 (Barstool)
Russ is -400 to record a triple double. The Wizards are +285 to win tonight. This parlay should pay +381. Meh, this is sort of a boost, but not enough I am interested. I would rather go for the gold with the boost above. Pass here.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
PIT/BAL/SF to all win +850 (Fox)
This should pay +756. Yet, two of the teams in this boost are dogs. I am passing on this with two dogs involved.
NBA
WAS +8
Curry over 6.5 made 3’s +120
Oh I think he goes nuts tonight.
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 56-53 51.37%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-87 +3125
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 66-57 53.65%
NBA Model 445-432 50.74%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070
Win The Weekends 