The Lakers may be in for a bumpy ten-day stretch. If they lose tonight and it is trending that way, coupled with a Dallas win and the West could be wild for the play-in games.
Current Standings
5. Dal 10 GB
6. LAL 11 GB
7. POR 11 GB
If Dallas and Portland win tonight
5. Dal 10 GB
6. POR 11 GB
7. LAL 12 GB
If you finish 7-10 you are in the play in games. The Lakers finish with PHO, NYK, HOU, IND, NOP. Houston is a win but the others could all be tenuous especially without LeBron James. What about Portland’s finish? Portland ends with SAS, HOU, UTA, PHX, DEN. On the surface that seems much tougher. However, a win tonight and Portland owns the tiebreaker with the Lakers based on head-to-head. Plus, Denver may be locked into the four seed on that last game of the season. In essence, if Portland wins tonight a 4-1 finish may be good enough to avoid the play in, maybe even 3-2. Will LeBron be back soon enough to keep the Lakers out of this?
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Joel Embiid is now listed questionable. Be aware. If he sits bets involving him will be voided.
NBA Model Plays
PHI -9.5
CHI +4
MIL -16.5
CHA -7
MIN +6.5
DAL -10
DEN +4
NYK +6.5 (Highest Rated in the Model)
SAC +4 (This is one of the weirdest lines of the season despite the Kings injury issues.)
LAL +7 (If the Lakers lose tonight, the last week will be very interesting.)
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Mavs/Nuggets/Lakers to all win +850 (DK)
Normally, DK does not miss this badly. If you parlay this, it should pay +1157. The Lakers are large dogs and the Nuggets are smaller dogs. Either way, the Lakers are in serious trouble. Pass for me and a very easy pass at that.
Zion to be the leading scorer Sixers/Pels +175 (FD)
This may be great now pending Embiid news.
Steven Adams is doubtful for the Pelicans. Brandon Ingram is out as well. This would set the stage for Zion to score even more. However, who is stopping Embiid? Willy Hernangomez? Embiid’s prop is set to 29.5 and the under I slightly juiced. Zion’s total is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced. This is another Sixers smash spot and Embiid is going to score a ton. Pass on this boost.
Jokic to score 25+ and the Nuggets to win +320 (FD)
Jokic’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced. The Nuggets are four-point dogs in Utah.
This parlay should pay +274. This is one I can get behind. Jokic is playing out of this world. Utah has been a little off since Mitchell and Conley have been out, at just 6-4 over their last ten. I am in here. Jokic’s prop is over what is needed here and the Nuggets are a live dog. Fire this up.
Sixers/Celtics/Heat to all win +200 (Fox)
This should pay +169, but yeah the inconsistent Celtics on the road without Jaylen Brown. I am running away from that. Pass for me. In addition, Jimmy Butler is questionable for the Heat. Another red flag. Pass.
Embiid/Tatum/Booker to score 30+ +900 (Fox)
Embiid’s prop is set to 29.5 and the under I slightly juiced.
Tatum’s prop is set to 29.5.
Booker’s prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Booker is +136 to score 30+.
If you parlay all three of these, it should pay +755. This is a pretty solid boost. I really do want to fire on this, but the Knicks being the Suns opponent gives me pause. The Knicks play extremely slow. They played this game a week ago and Booker did drop 33-points. Looking at this in a different way. I believe Embiid will smash tonight without any post players to stop him. Tatum gets to play without Brown, which means his usage rises. Booker is really the only one I am seriously worried about. With the size of the boost here, I am willing to risk it. The price is more than fair and as long as the games stay relatively close, everyone will have a chance. I am in.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYY to win and 9+ runs scored +250 (FD)
NYY are -178 to win tonight.
The total is set to 8.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This parlay should pay +175 so it is a boost. The NYY have played 31 games this year. In only seven of those 31 games have the Yankees won and 9+ runs been scored. Based upon that, this is slightly under a number I would feel comfortable betting. I am passing. If this were +300 or more, I would be more inclined.
LAD/LAA 10+ runs scored +160 (FD)
The total is 8.5 in this one and the over is barely juiced at -112. I am passing here, as this is asking the over to come in plus an extra run. While neither starter has been amazing, they have been touched up at times. No need to step into this one even though over 9.5 runs should pay +132.
50% Profit Boost any live MLB Bet (DK)
You should use this.
Judge to hit a HR +400 (DK)
Judge is +300 to hit a HR on Fan Duel. This is a boost, but I think betting HR props are a losing proposition at these prices. Pass for me.
Nats/Twins/Phillies to all win +1100 (Fox)
This is a boost as it should pay +961. However, two of these teams are dogs and I would never fire on this with two dogs. Pass for me.
Brewers/Rockies to both win +550 (Barstool)
Would you like to parlay two dogs here? This should pay +530, so it is a tiny boost. I again am never parlaying two dogs in a boost. Pass.
NYY/NYK to both win +450 (Barstool)
This should pay +400. The Knicks in Phoenix is a tough one for me. The Suns see the top seed up there. While this is a boost, asking the Knicks to win on the road like this is too much for me. Pass.
NBA
DEN +4
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 56-52 51.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-37 +579
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-85 +3325
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 65-55 54.16%
NBA Model 434-420 50.93%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070
Win The Weekends 