Nothing like having your DFS Golf lineups dead at 8:00 AM, when Webb Simpson withdrawals. At least my bets on him were refunded and I could fire on my guy Bryson. It is clearly destiny.
I just want to remind everyone that late season NBA is very weird and wild. Things change fast and people will, rest, tank, get hurt, etc. often. I think the Rockets finished their game last night with six players. Be careful!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
CHA +4
BRK -3.5
WAS +2
DET +9.5
IND +6 (Highest Rated in Model)
GSW -14.5
LAC -8.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
I see they have adjusted the payouts on the 3×2 boosts on Fan Duel. Pass for me always.
Lakers/Clippers 25+ made 3’s +125 (DK)
The Lakers average 11.1 made threes per game.
The Clippers average 14.4 made threes per game.
This is an interesting one because it is oddly right on the nose, but does play plus money. This game has the chance for a blowout without Lebron. The Lakers are missing more than Lebron and I am skeptical of the pace and points scored in this game. This game only has a total of 211 points and 25 made threes is a lot considering the pace the Lakers may be forced to play. Oddly, the Clippers do take a ton of threes. I am passing here. The Lakers are capable of shooting horribly and making well under ten threes considering how many they shoot. I am out.
MEM/ATL/GSW to all win +105 (DK)
This looks very juicy on the surface. All three are solid favorited playing inferior opponents. This parlay should play -115. Yet, I have reservations. This is a road back-to-back for the Hawks and I do not trust them. I did avoid the Suns in Atlanta last night in a similar spot. The Pacers may be getting some people back tonight, but I just have no trust in Atlanta. You can fire, as this normally would be right up my alley. Pass for me.
Curry/Luka both to score 30+ +150 (Fox)
Luka’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Luka is -154 to score 30+ points.
Curry’s point prop is set to 35.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Curry is -360 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay these two it should pay +111. Both players need to just miss, or significantly miss their prop. This is a boost. Despite the Warriors blowout worries, I am in.
BRK/ATL/TOR +350 (Fox)
This should pay +294. There is no chance I am going against the Wizards with the Raptors headed for the lottery. I have already made my thoughts on Atlanta clear. Pass.
KD/Luka to both score 30+ +150 (Barstool)
Luka’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Luka is -154 to score 30+ points.
KD’s prop is set to 29.5 and the under is ever so slightly juiced.
KD is -130 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay KD and Luka to score 30+ it should pay, +204. This is an easy pass here as the boost is well under what it should pay and is not a boost at all. Pass.
Clippers/LAA to both win +155 (Barstool)
This is a small boost as it should pay +120. Look, the Clippers are healthy and not losing to the Lakers tonight. The Clippers need to win and the Lakers are headed for the play-in. The Angels are small favorites, but since I feel the Clippers are going to win, this is a solid spot to take the LAA. I am in.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Braves and Nats to go to extra innings +870 (DK)
What is this? This is not as bad as the college basketball games going to OT wagers that Draft Kings have posted before. Pass.
There are so many early baseball games, there are no other boosts posted for late games.
NBA
IND +6
I trust the model and do not like the Hawks.
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 55-52 51.40%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-36 +679
Hoops Odds Boosts 53-84 +3425
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 64-55 53.78%
NBA Model 429-418 50.64%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 15-35 -846
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 3-8 -179
Baseball Odds boosts Record 8-20 -070
Win The Weekends 