The NBA regular season is over in under 14 days. If Portland wins and the Lakers lose tonight, the Lakers would fall into the play-in game. I am extremely excited about this scenario! In the East, we have a game with a 245.5-point total! Will the Wizards and Pacers actually get there? That is extremely high. Then there is the Magic and Pistons game. There are more players hurt than actually playing for both teams. This is tanking to the extreme.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
ORL +2.5
IND +4
GSW +3
POR +2
PHI -5.5 (highest rated in model)
NYK +3.5
UTA -7
DEN -3.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Zion and Curry to each score 30+ points +200 (FD)
Zion’s point prop is set to 28.5.
Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5.
Zion is +108 to score 30+ points.
Curry is -550 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +143. I am in here. Zion is going to destroy the Warriors in the paint if the game stays close. Curry will do what he does and can miss his prop by six points. I am in.
Dame and Trae to combine for 8+ made threes +300 (FD)
Dame’s made threes prop is set to 3.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Trae’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Considering their prop has them around the six made threes number and the fact that I never bet the over on Trae, this feels like a pass. If you were to parlay Dame to make 5+ and Trae to make 3+ it would pay +521. Of course, I know this is combined, but Trae does not make enough threes and has not all year. Pass for me.
Jokic to record a triple-double and the Lakers to win +725 (DK)
What is this boost? Jokic is +270 to record a triple-double, but why and the Lakers to win? I hate rooting for both sides in this way, you can be right and wrong at the same time. Pass.
Curry and Zion to combine for 60+ points -125 (DK)
You could bet this. Alternatively, you could bet the boosts where they each score 30+. Yes, this has a much easier path, but I would rather bet the boosts.
Dame and Trae to combine for 65 or more points +400 (Fox)
Dame’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced.
Trae’s prop is set to 25.5 and the under is juiced.
This line is way too high, even for the payout. Again, yes, this is combined, but the most likely path is Dame to score 35 and Trae to score 30 points. That combo parlayed pays +1227. I think I am the most anti-Trae person out there. I hated the Hawks in the preseason and will not back Trae again here. Pass.
ATL/PHI/NYK to all win +550 (Fox)
This is a trap. The Hawks are tiny favorites against the resurgent Blazers. The Sixers are small favorites as well and the Knicks are road dogs in Memphis. Yes, this is a boost as it should pay +465. I am passing though.
Jokic to record 45+ combined points/assists/rebounds and Denver to win +200 (Barstool)
Jokic’s points prop is set to 25.5.
Jokic’s rebound prop is set to 10.5.
Jokic’s assist prop is set to 8.5 and the under is juiced.
Jokic’s points/rebounds/assists prop is set to 45.5 and the under is slightly juiced. If you parlay the over here and Denver to win it should pay +207. This is paying under the level where it should be, so it is an easy pass for me. Some people will say correlated parlays should be weighted differently, but we can bet these on some sites now. Pass for me.
Curry and Zion to each score 30+ +215 (Barstool)
Zion’s point prop is set to 28.5.
Curry’s point prop is set to 36.5.
Zion is +108 to score 30+ points.
Curry is -550 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +143. I am in here. Zion is going to destroy the Warriors in the paint if the game stays close. Curry will do what he does and can miss his prop by six points. If I was in above, I am in here. This allows you to bet more than the max that FD will let you. I am in.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.
Ohtani/Trout/Rendon to all record a hit +300 (FD)
The LAA are small dogs going against Tyler Glasnow.
Ohtani is -210.
Trout is -210.
Rendon is -230.
If you parlay them all is should pay +209. Yes, this is a boost and a decent one at that. However, Glasnow has given up 19 hits in six starts this year. The most hits he has given up are five. I know he is not going to pitch the entire game, but he goes six innings each time out. This is a pass for me. I am out.
25% Live MLB Profit Boost (DK)
You can use this as soon as a game starts. I will post my live bet on Twitter!
STL/TOR/BAL all to win +800 (DK)
Did the sites put all the teams in a hat and pick these? This should pay +691, but two are dogs and this is games with tight money lines. Pass.
PHI/MIN/KC to all win +500 (Fox)
Two favorites and one dog here. This should pay +462, so not much of a boost. Pass.
OAK/SEA to both win +250 (Barstool)
Both teams are small favorites and this should pay +225. You can fire if you want, but I am passing. At least this only asks two games to be correct and they are favored.
TEX/TB to both win +425 (Barstool)
This should pay +373, but Texas is a decent dog tonight. I am passing.
Phillies/Sixers to both win +215 (Barstool)
This should pay +158. Both teams are favored. The Sixers need to keep winning to maintain the number one seed. I am in here!
NBA
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MLB
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Let’s Get Weird
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Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 54-51 51.42%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-35 +779
Hoops Odds Boosts 50-82 +2960
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 61-55 53.04%
NBA Model 414-409 50.30%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 11-35 -1306
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 1-8 -539
Baseball Odds boosts Record 7-20 -170
Win The Weekends 