I was asked on Twitter if I could add Barstool Sportsbook stuff to the breakdown. I was hesitant, because I know they have a smaller market share. In addition, I was very critical of their parlay and teaser odds in the past. Nevertheless, as they grow and enter new markets maybe I should add them, as well. I do have an account there and I used it when they first came to PA to get the free money and bet some NFL season long items. I can add them as well into the daily breakdown. After all, I did buy a “positive vibes only” shirt because I liked it.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
PHI -9.5
CLE +7
SAS +4.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
ORL +12.5
POR -2.5
MIL -0.5 (Assumes Giannis sits)
PHO -4
LAL -8.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Russ to record a triple-double and Wiz to win +160 (FD)
The Wizards are -6.5 tonight in Cleveland. Russ is -185 to record a triple-double. This parlay should pay +114. Russ has a triple-double in 13 of his last 16 games. One of those three games he failed was against the Cavs. Despite that one failure, I am in here. Russ has been crushing it, the Wizards should win and this is a solid boost. I am in.
AD and Dame to combine for 60+ Points +340 (FD)
Dame’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced.
Dame is +144 to score 30+.
AD’s points prop is set to 23.5.
AD is +300 to score 30+ points.
No matter how you slice it, this is way under what it should pay. If you parlay them to both score 30+, it should pay +876. If you switch it to Dame to get 35+ and AD 25+ it pays +898. No matter what, this boost is a pass for me.
Beal and Dame to each score 30+ +420 (DK)
Dame’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is juiced.
Dame is +144 to score 30+.
Beal’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Beal is -130 to score 30+ tonight.
If you parlay them to both score 30+ it should pay +347.
Overall, this is not bad. Dame needs to go over his prop by a few and Beal needs to just meet his. Despite the Blazers struggles and great turn around in their last game, I am in here. I think it is worth the risk for the extra boost here. I am in.
Beal and Booker to score 30+ each +350 (Fox)
Beal’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Beal is -130 to score 30+ tonight.
Booker’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Booker is +164 to score 30+ tonight.
This parlay should pay +367. Despite Beal’s inclusion and being on him getting there, Booker needs to go over and you are not getting the type of payout needed to make this worth the risk. Pass.
BOS/POR/PHO to all win +380 (Fox)
Three games with smaller spreads. This parlay should pay +294. Therefore, this is a boost, but I cannot back Portland on the road here despite the Nets issues. The Celtics have been blowing games like this all year. You can fire, but I am passing.
Vuc to score 25+ and Bulls to win +270 (Barstool)
Vuc’s player prop is set to 25.5 points tonight.
The Bulls are a half-point dog. If you parlay these two, it pays +196. This is a very solid boost and if you think the Bulls win, fire it up. Even without Giannis, I think the Bucks can win anyway. The Bulls have been worse since the trade deadline and LaVine being out. Pass for me.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.
2+ runs scored in first inning NYY/DET +300 (FD)
2+ runs to be scored in the first inning should pay +240. Yes, this is a boost, but why would you go against Cole here? Are the Tigers really going to come out scoring right away? Cole has given up seven runs in five starts this year. Pass for me.
NYM/BOS/LAD to all win +410 (DK)
NYM are -166 on the road tonight.
Boston is -148 in Texas tonight.
LAD without a confirmed starting pitcher are -132 tonight.
A parlay of these three should pay +355. This is a boost, but without the Dodgers knowledge, I am hesitant. The Dodger bats have been quiet and they are not performing to the level everyone expected. You can fire on this if you want, but I am passing.
Cole to record 10+ K’s and NYY to win +110 (DK)
NYY are -370 today.
Cole’s K prop for tonight is 9.5 and the over is juiced. If you parlay these two together, it should pay +121. I assumed at first that this was going to be solid. I think as the NYY money line has gotten slightly larger during the day, this boost has become much worse. Obviously, since it pays less than it should I am passing.
Rizzo or JD to hit a HR +140 (Fox)
Rizzo is +410 to hit a HR. There is not a line listed for player props for the Red Sox at the moment. In these cases, I am always siding with taking the players separately. Normally, these either or HR props need to be well above +200 to be worth it based upon their numbers. Pass for me.
NYY/PHI/CHC to all win +550 (Fox)
The Phillies and Cubs are small dogs tonight, while the NYY are massive favorites. This parlay should pay +535, so it is not exactly a great boost. Pass for me.
Buxton to hit a HR +540 (Barstool)
No player props are currently posted for this game at the moment. In that case, pass.
Vlad to hit a HR +475 (Barstool)
Vlad to hit a HR should pay +410. If you like it, then go ahead. I am passing on this boost and most HR boosts in general. This game does have a total of 10 runs though.
NYY/CLEV to win +145 (Barstool)
This should pay +114. Solid Boost, where you have the best pitchers in both games. I am in.
NBA
PHO -4
I am riding the Suns, especially when the Jazz have people out.
Bucks -0.5
Even without Giannis, they are better and should win here.
MLB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 52-49 51.48%
Hoops Parlay Record 44-34 +879
Hoops Odds Boosts 48-80 +2620
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 60-53 53.09%
NBA Model 399-399 50%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 11-35 -1451
Baseball Games 4-8 -597
Baseball Parlay Record 1-8 -539
Baseball Odds boosts Record 6-20 -315
Win The Weekends 