It is NFL Draft Day! In theory, I should be sitting on my couch, or hanging with friends and watching the night’s drama unfold. Yet, that will not be happening. My daughter has a softball game that is almost an hour away and by the time, we get home and the kids get to sleep, I hope I see the Steelers pick live.
I kind of want to fire up the movie Draft Day to get ready. “I want all my picks back and David Putney!”
While we cannot legally bet on the NFL, or any draft in the state of Pennsylvania, I know some of you are in states where you can make these wagers. In an effort to assist and look at the betting options, I figured we could go through the Draft Kings Sports Book NFL Draft Pool and sprinkle some bets based upon the best information we have at the time.
Until the draft starts, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
Who will the Steelers pick?
An offensive player selected by the Steelers is -250 in the first round. Many people have either Najee Harris, or an offensive lineman. Nevertheless, what if that is wrong? What if it is Zaven Collins? The Steelers have always drafted the best player available and not necessarily for need. Peter Schrager actually has the Steelers trading up for Harris in the final mock draft. THAT IS INSANE. If they trade up for a running back in the year 2021, I have plenty of questions. Multiple mock drafts have the Jets taking a RB right before the Steelers. I hope that happens. We have also heard Buffalo and TB may take a RB at the end of round one as well. Maybe, the threat of the Steelers taking a RB is enough that the Steelers can move back. Collins has been linked to the Cardinals, so he may not even be there. I think if Collins falls, the Steelers actually draft a LB. My hope is best available offensive lineman. This could be any of the tackles that will be left, or Alabama Center Landon Dickerson. I am happy if it is anyone but a RB. If it is a RB, I will be opening an adult beverage immediately.
DK Draft Pool Picks
1. Who will be the 2nd pick?
Just lock in Zach Wilson and move on. It certainly seems we know the first three picks.
2. Who will be the 3rd pick?
Look, I do not get the Mac Jones love. Kyle Shanahan loves him and allegedly, Trey Lance has crept into their thoughts. This is the head coaches hand pick QB and people always come back to where they started with this stuff. Mac Jones.
3. Who will be the 4th pick?
Kyle Pitts. Yes, Atlanta may work a trade and a QB could easily go here. I believe that Arthur Smith loves tight ends, or in this case a massive offensive weapon that can be extremely versatile.
4. Who will be the 5th pick?
Ja’Marr Chase. If it were me, I would pick an offensive lineman to protect my star QB. Yet, everything we read and hear says that the value on the line in the 15-60 range is massive. If that is the case and only a few special WR’s are in this draft, then I get making this pick.
5. Who will be the first WR Drafted?
Chase. More weapons for the Bengals.
6. Who will be the first RB drafted?
Please. Please. Please. I am begging you Pittsburgh Steelers, do not do it. Have I made it clear how I feel? I am hopeful; another team feels that drafting a RB in round one is vital to their improvement. I believe the Steelers are smart enough to not draft a RB in round one. Am I misguided? Perhaps. Have you ever heard anyone say, “we would have won if we had a better running back?” Conversely, you have heard someone say, “We would have won if we had an offensive line.” I am going Najee Harris here, but I hope it is to Miami, New York, or Buffalo.
7. Who will be the first defensive player drafted?
Parsons is the most talented, but has the most red flags. Jaycee Horn has been rising up the draft boards of plenty of teams, but is it enough to land here? I am going safe and selecting Patrick Surtain II. Of course, if you want to cash in these pools you need to be unique. After all, I am the winner of the one and only Real Housewives of New York Pool DK Sportsbook ran a year ago.
8. Which player will be selected first?
This question features QB’s 3-5. I believe the Mac Jones love is true in San Fran. I am staying with it here. Mac Jones.
9. How many QB’s will be drafted in the 1st round?
Under 5.5. Under 5.5 is like -500 at the moment. Every year, people try to push another QB into the end of the first round. I am not buying it.
10. Total Number of 1st round picks traded after 8:00 PM?
This only counts on trades made after the draft starts. I think that since we have already had a few trades, I am leaning toward under 6.5 trades here.
What Draft Odds Currently Say
Depending upon your location and books, there are going to be stale numbers. If you hear about a trade, or see it whispered on Twitter, I would rush to your book to make a wager. As always, shop around for the best price. Mac Jones is up to -400 to go third overall. In some spots, he is only -200. Shop around as always.
Pitts is only -150 to go fourth overall. Seems like that may indicate a trade.
Chase is now favored to be the fourth pick, but it is only -140.
Trey Lance appears to be firmly ahead of Justin Fields. I would but over on Fields draft position, which is all over the place on different sites.
On one site, the Steelers are -350 to draft offense with their first pick, on another they are -230.
What site are you using? What odds do you have? Let me know what you are seeing on Twitter!