We have the NBA. We have MLB. We have the NFL Draft. We have PGA. We have the Kentucky Derby. This weekend in 2021 is so much better than 2020. Although I will treasure the Draft Kings Sportsbook Real Housewives of NYC pool win from last year, this is so much better. Yes, my wife nailed every question and we won several hundred dollars. I am also trying to defend my Top Chef Fantasy league title as well. Therefore, yeah, I am loving this busy sports weekend we have on tap. I am so excited to crack open a delicious hazy IPA and watch it all!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
PHI -8.5
ORL +4
WAS +1.5
CHA +7.5 (Highest Rated in model)
NYK -4
SAS +4.5
DEN -4
MEM -1.5
UTA -8.5
PHO -4
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Bill Simmons This is 40 40+ scored by either team in any quarter Was/LAL +400 (FD)
On the surface I was thinking this might be a good bet. Teams have been scoring in bunches and there have been an incredible amount of points in games featuring the Wizards. Then, I looked into the two teams. The Wizards have a grand total of zero 40+ point quarters in their last ten games. Why did I pick ten games? That is after the trade deadline and when the Wizards have played much better. Conversely, the Lakers also have zero 40+ point quarters. However, the Lakers did give up one 40+-point quarter to the Magic of all teams. If this boost was set to 36 or 38 points, then it would be a different story. Nevertheless, I like it when you something has happened before often, before I bet it will happen again. Alternatively, at the very least, I need odds to make it worth my while. Pass on this boost.
Randle and Vuc to each score 25+ points +330 (FD)
Randle’s point prop is set to 26.5 points.
Vuc’s point prop is set to 22.5 points.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +246. This is a boost, but we need to look at the game pace and total. This game features a total of only 208 points. Ugh. The Knicks are very slow and play excellent defense. I get it if you want to play this, but I just cannot get behind this one. Pass for me.
Booker to score 25+ points and the Suns to win +180 (FD)
Booker’s points prop is set to 27.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
The Suns are small four-point favorites tonight.
If you parlay this combo it should pay +125. Leonard is still out and the Suns are coming home after a long road trip. This feels like a good spot to be on Phoenix and this boost. For the Booker piece to come in, he can miss his prop by two points and still be fine. I am in.
Randle and Vuc to combine for 20+ rebounds -121 (DK)
Randle’s rebound prop is set to 9.5.
Vuc’s rebound prop is set to 11.5 and the under is juiced.
If you parlay them to each have ten rebounds, it should pay +162. Yes, this wager is combined though. I cannot get behind this at the price at -121. I would rather bet the parlay at +162. Pass for me.
Sixers/Knicks/Nuggets to all win +240 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +207. All three teams are favored and at home. I like this. I am in.
Embiid and Capela 2+ dunks each +400 (Fox)
I will say this again, Embiid does not dunk as often as you think. He dunks once every other game. Pass for me.
Zion 3+ dunks and Jokic to record a triple-double +450 (Fox)
What even is this boost? How dumb. We know Zion dunks around 2.5 times a game based on what he has done this season. I am passing on this for the fact it is a dunk involved prop. For what it is worth, Jokic is about +185 to record a triple-double. I am passing.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.
Harper to hit a HR and Phillies to win +715 (DK)
Harper is +290 to hit a HR.
The Phillies are -108 tonight.
This parlay combo should pay +461. This is a sizeable boost as they normally are. This game has a total of 8.5 runs. Harper has six HR this year and four have been on the road. I am going to take a shot here. These are lower HR odds on Harper. I am in.
LAD/PIT/NYM to all win +350 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +315. However, I know the Pirates have been better, but I can not put them in any kind of wager at this time. Pass for me.
Seager/Merrifield/JD to all have a hit +150 (Fox)
Seager is -260 to record a hit.
Merrifield is -310 to record a hit.
JD is -185 to record a hit.
All right, this boost should pay +182. Moreover, who wants to attack Jacob DeGrom? Easy pass.
NBA
PHI -8.5
I am here for the Sixers resurgence and taking the number one seed back.
WAS +1.5
I get them as a dog here, nice.
PHO -4
The Suns are playing for that number one seed themselves.
MLB
LAD/NYM/SD/CWS +367
Look; I am a glutton for punishment. I know dogs are winning. I know any and all money line favorite parlays are getting killed. Yet, here I am.
Let’s Get Weird
LAD/NYM/SD/CWS/Sixers/Jazz +690
I fully expect the first team in this combo to lose. However, I must stick to my convictions and how we operate. Even if it is insane!
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 49-47 51.04%
Hoops Parlay Record 43-33 +739
Hoops Odds Boosts 48-78 +2820
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 60-51 54.05%
NBA Model 390-392 49.87%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 11-31 -1038
Baseball Games 4-7 -484
Baseball Parlay Record 1-7 -439
Baseball Odds boosts Record 6-18 -115
Win The Weekends 