Small slate for the NBA, but two games I really like. The model likes the Pacers, even with injury adjustment, but I am hesitant as well. One day baseball will not be as wild as it is, certainly seems like dogs are the way to go in MLB for the time being.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
IND +5.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
MIL -9
OKC +11
BRK -6.5
HOU +1.5
GSW -5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
25% Boost on NBA game of your choosing (DK)
I will be using this.
Curry and Luka to combine for 75+ points +740 (DK)
Pass on this as Luka may sit and I believe Dallas gets blown out.
MIL/BRK/DAL to all win +400 (Fox)
Yeah, Dallas is going to rest people and struggle tonight. The Mavs are a five-point dog. Pass.
Steph/Kyrie/Dame 30+ points each +800 (Fox)
Curry’s point prop is set to 33.5 tonight.
Curry is -280 to score 30+ tonight.
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 26.5.
Kyrie is +154 to score 30+ points.
Dame’s point prop is set to 27.5.
Dame is +136 to score 30+ points.
First, this is a boost as it should pay +714, but this is asking two of them to go over their prop by a few points. Since I do believe the Nets win easy, I think it is possible Kyrie does not get there tonight. I am passing here.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.
Alonso or JD to hit a HR +210 (FD)
No, I am passing on these. JD is +460 and Alonso is +380. I would rather play them separately, but this number is closer to a playable odds boost. Pass for me.
Tim Anderson over 1.5 Hits and CWS to win +295 (DK)
Anderson is +180 to record 2+ hits. The CWS are large favorites and this should pay +242. I am passing here as two hits and a win is asking a lot. In addition, we have watched big favorites lose repeatedly this season in baseball. Pass for me.
Harper and Tatis to get 1+ hit each +100 (Fox)
Harper is -290 to record a hit.
Tatis is -380 to record a hit.
If you parlay these two together, it should pay -143. I am in on this. The max bet for me was $10, so LOL, but good luck to everyone out there.
NYY/Cubs/PHI all to win +675 (Fox)
This should pay +593. The Cubs are dogs here and the Phillies are barely favored. This is a pass for me. No more NYY until they get it together.
NBA
GSW -5
This is a road back-to-back for Dallas and could be a preview of the play-in. Perfect spot to be on the Warriors.
BRK -6.5
Also a back-to-back for Toronto and they are just outside the play-in. This feels like a Brooklyn big win spot as the Raptors will rule people out.
MLB
LAD -1.5 Runs -126
Let’s Get Weird
LAD/CHW/Celtics/Bucks/Nets/Warriors ML Parlay +452
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 48-46 51.06%
Hoops Parlay Record 43-32 +839
Hoops Odds Boosts 48-78 +2820
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 60-50 54.54%
NBA Model 387-389 49.87%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 10-31 -1012
Baseball Games 4-6 -358
Baseball Parlay Record 1-7 -439
Baseball odds boosts Record 5-18 -215
Win The Weekends 