When did the weekend become busier than the week? Perhaps the random start times of both NBA and MLB games clearly does not help. Either way, we are back with a huge slate in both leagues tonight. We are quickly getting the end of the NBA regular season and playoff seeding is really taking shape. Always, be aware of resting and injury information. Please notice things like Ben Simmons being upgraded from out to questionable. To me that means he is playing. Try to take advantage of these spots and get a better number. The Clippers seem ready to give the game away tonight, but as we have watched all year, the Pelicans are not capable of taking it.
Yesterday, I retweeted the tweet of Todd Fuhrman who discussed the slim margins in sports betting. Betting $110 to win $100 on games if you went 55-45 you only won $550. Think about how much you are risking for that small profit. Yet, that is exactly how we operate here. Go look at our NFL season computer model here. Some people may say small sample size, but we have six seasons of data to back it up. I am sure it is all listed in a post before week one of the NFL season, which is right here!
NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 9-4 69.23%
Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
You can look at the same with our highest rated NBA model play every night. It is a grind, but we get to profitability. If you factor in other items we have suggested, player props, odds boosts, parlays and we are very profitable for the season. The grind never stops and neither do we. Now, for tonight…
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
LAL -10
WAS +4
ATL -4.5
PHI -12.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
NYK +2.5
CLE +11
CHI +5.5
UTA -10
LAC -1.5
MEM +4.5
DAL -5.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
LAL and LAC to both win +150 (FD)
This should pay +113, but the Clippers on the road without KL and others as well. Pass for me.
Randle to score 25+ and Knicks to win +260 (FD)
Beware all the sites using the same person or team in a boost.
Randle’s point prop is set to 26.5 points.
Randle is -180 to score 25 points.
If you parlay this, it should pay +195. This is a tough one because if you like the Knicks, this is a prime spot. The Suns will be missing Crowder and Saric and are struggling to end this road trip. The Knicks have been playing very well and I am jumping on this. I am in.
Randle to score 30+ and the Knicks to win +525 (DK)Beware all the sites using the same person or team in a boost. Notice a trend?
Now, can Randle get to 30? I laid out the case for taking the Knicks, but what about Randle. In the previous boost the number he needed was under his points prop. This boost, it is 3.5-points over. Randle is +152 to score 30+ tonight and parlayed with a Knicks win should pay +328. This is a massive boost. For a few extra points, you add almost +200 in value. Randle has been over 30 in six of his last seven games. I am in. The model has liked the Knicks all year long. Fire this up.
Zion and PG to combine for 60+ points +100 (Fox)
Zion’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the under is juiced.
PG’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
If you parlay these two, it should pay +253. Of course, these combined props give you more flexibility, but you still need each player to get close to his prop. I would again, play them parlayed instead, if considering this boost. Nevertheless, when it comes to this boost it is a pass for me.
Sixers/Suns/LAC to all win +300 (Fox)
This should pay +256, so it is a boost. However, I am not messing around with the Clippers on the road without KL. Additionally, the Knicks have been solid at home all year long and I want to avoid that situation as well.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.
NYY to win and 9+ runs to be scored +230 (FD)
NYY are -164 and the total is set to nine runs. This combo should pay +200, but we know the Yankees have not exactly been scoring a ton this season. Enter Matt Harvey for the Orioles. Harvey has given up 11 earned runs in just over 19 innings pitched. The New York bats have been better has 9+ runs have been scored in three of their last four games. In this case, I am willing to take the risk on New York after fading their boosts all last week. I am in.
LAD and SF to win +170 (FD)
SF is -188.
LAD is -198.
If you parlay them, it should pay +131. The two best teams in the NL West, both as nicely sized favorites and it is boosted nicely. I am in.
COL/STL/MIL to all win +700 (DK)
COL is +158. I mean why even look any further.
STL is -108.
MIL is -174.
If you parlay all these, it should pay +669. This is such a small boost considering you are taking a sizable dog as part of this parlay. Pass for me.
Harper or Bryant to hit a HR +140 (Fox)
Bryant is +475 to hit a HR.
Harper is +350 to hit a HR. I am always going to suggest wagering on them separately in these situations. I would rather have the upside of them both hitting, but also losing two bets than this small pay out on this boost. Pass for me.
ATL/TB/PHI +550 (Fox)
ATL is -205.
TB is -106.
PHI is -108.
If you parlay all these, it should pay +457. Now, yes, this is a boost and a large on at that, but two of these games feature very small money lines. Like most of these boosts, if you liked it before you saw this, and then proceed. For me, this is a pass.
NBA
PHI -12.5
Sixers coming off a losing streak and the schedule gets very easy. This is the start of them ripping off a nice stream to end the season.
NYK +2.5
Might as well go for it all on the Knicks tonight.
MLB
LAD -196
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 47-45 51.08%
Hoops Parlay Record 43-32 +839
Hoops Odds Boosts 48-76 +3020
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 59-50 54.12%
NBA Model 383-382 50.06%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 10-28 -616
Baseball Games 4-5 -162
Baseball Parlay Record 1-7 -439
Baseball odds boosts Record 5-16 -015
Win The Weekends 