Find games I like is hard as I look for reasons to not bet something, as opposed for reasons to fire away. Yet, tonight, I like plenty in the NBA. I hope that Suh/Ghim combo keeps going!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
BRK -4.5
MIA -5 (Trae is out; I get the feel from the injury report that the Hawks may just rest this game.)
CHA -1 (Highest Rated in Model)
WAS -10
LAC -10
POR -3
DEN -2
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Butler and Russ 1+ dunk each +200 (Fox)
Why? Every day Fox Bet.
Butler has 32 dunks in 42 games.
Russ has 21 dunks in 52 games.
Russ is just under the level of where I would need to this to be to consider it. Pass for me.
Nets/Hornets/Clippers to win +250 (Fox)
This parlay should pay +232. The Nets and Clippers are decently sized favorites tonight. The Hornets are tiny favorites. I like two of the three and the model likes the Hornets. I am in.
Beal and PG to combine for 60+ points +100 (Fox)
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Beal is -122 to score 30+ tonight.
PG’s point prop is set to 27.5.
PG is +128 to score 30+ tonight.
If you parlay these two to score 30+ is should pay +315. Of course, I get that the prop is to combine, but at only +100, I need this to be more in line exactly with their props. At 60+, I want this to pay more. I would rather parlay them to both score 30+ with the chance to make more. Pass.
Dame to score 30+ points +210 (FD)
Dame’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Dame is +160 to score 30+ tonight.
Dame played 37 minutes in his last game shooting 9-23 from the field. Now, that is obviously not good. Tonight he gets the Grizzlies with a small spread and a total of 233 for the game. I love this. I am in. Dame is ready to go and they want to avoid the play-in games. I am here for a big Dame game.
Curry to score 5+ 3’s and Jokic to score 1+ 3’s +140 (DK)
Curry’s made threes prop is set to 5.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Jokic’s made threes prop is set to 1.5 and the under is heavily juiced.
Curry is -230 to make 5+ threes.
Jokic is -330 to make 1+ three.
If you parlay them, it should pay -113.
This is a really solid boost. Jokic has been making roughly one three a game and Curry has been on fire except for his last game.
I am in on this. Fire it up!
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NYM/NYY/A’s to all win +300 (DK)
NYM are -310 today.
NYY are -144 today.
A’s are -132 today.
If you parlay them all it should pay +285. This is a meh boost. The Yankees are struggling right now. Pass for me.
DeGrom to record 10+ K’s and Mets to score 5+ runs +345 (DK)
DeGrom’s K prop for tonight is set to 9.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
The Mets team total is set to 4.5 and the under is ever so slightly juiced.
If you parlay this on another site, it should pay +219. This is a pretty sizeable boost. The strike out part is not my worry here. The Mets have only scored 5+ runs in three of 14 games this year. I am going to pass here, but you can fire. The Mets offense has just not been there yet. Pass for me.
Judge/Freeman/Polanco 1+ hit each +125 (Fox)
Judge is -235 to record a hit.
Polanco is -300 to record a hit.
Freeman is -390 to record a hit.
This parlay should pay +121. This is such a small boost it is an easy pass for me.
NYY/NYM/LAA to all win +425 (Fox)
NYM are -310 today.
NYY are -144 today.
LAA are +120 today.
This should pay +382 so it is a little bit of a boost. Again, this includes a dog and the NYY that are not great at the moment. I am passing.
NBA
WAS -10
I never like this many games on a given night, so this is very strange. OKC is tanking and the Wizards are playing very well. I am fine laying the big number, remember fade the tankers.
MIA -5
I bet this early, as I believe the Hawks take the night off in some way. No Trae, several players listed questionable. It is coming. Bet this now before the line moves.
BRK -4.5
Back-to-back for Boston, Kemba may rest and Brown is doubtful. Yeah, this is a tough spot for the Celtics.
POR -3
The Blazers lost three in a row, get a healthy Dame back and are at home against a Memphis team in the middle of a long road-trip? Oh, I like Portland tonight.
MLB
MIN -1.5 +122
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 45-43 51.13%
Hoops Parlay Record 23-32 +589
Hoops Odds Boosts 48-74 +3220
Hoops Player Props 4-3 +430
NBA Model Highest Rated 58-48 54.71%
NBA Model 377-371 50.40%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball Overall Record 9-28 -716
Baseball Games 3-5 -262
Baseball Parlay Record 1-7 -439
Baseball odds boosts Record 5-16 -015
Win The Weekends 