Basketball and Baseball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus NBA Computer Model Plays 4-19-2021

We are officially in chaos season for the NBA. I keep saying it, but watch out for injuries, resting, tanking and teams that are trying to get into the play-in games. Notice that the lines are moving fast and if one team rests people, their opponent may do the same. Be careful out there.

If you have kids like me and they play sports, I am sure you are as busy as I am. This is also chaos season for parents that have kids in multiple activities. I think we are finally seeing things start again and thus, we are running every night. If I do not respond to you on Twitter, that is why, but I will get to it if I can.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
DET +3 (Tied for highest rated in the model)
PHI -10 (assumes Curry sits)
CHI +6.5
MIA -8
OKC +12 (Tied for highest rated in the model)
PHO +3
IND +1
MEM +7
UTA -7






NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Heat/Nuggets/Lakers to all win +525 (DK)
Why are the Lakers in here? To trick people who do not pay attention? While this is a boost from +455, pass on this.



Sixers/Celtics/Bucks to all win +225 (Fox)
This is a boost as it should pay +179. However, I do not want to go against the Suns. I think Phoenix may go out there and try to make a statement against another top-tier team. Both these teams basically get zero respect despite their record. I am passing.



Embiid and Russ 1+ dunk each +200 (Fox)
Embiid dunks once every other game on average. Russ has 21 dunks in 49 games. Meh, this is not great and I hate dunk props as it is. Pass.

MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Soto to hit a HR +520 (FD)
This is a boost as Soto is +420 to hit a HR. Yet, the Nationals are a small dog and the game has a total of only eight runs. I am passing here.



Dodgers to win and 9+ runs scored +220 (FD)
This is a parlay of the Dodgers and the over. The Dodgers are -200 tonight, but the Mariners have been the most profitable dog this entire baseball season. This parlay should pay +150, so this is a boost. In this case, I am all about taking the Dodgers In this spot. While the Mariners are over performing, I am taking the best team in baseball and asking the over to come in. I am in.



Rhys Hoskins to hit a HR +375 (DK)
Hoskins is +400 on Fan Duel. Pass on this boost.


Phil/STL/SD to all win +550 (Fox)
This should pay +500. However, two of these games are feature small favorites, or dogs. I am never a fan of taking these boosts, just because they exist. If you liked this before you saw this go ahead, but I will pass with these small lines. Pass for me.


Segura/Merrifield/Ohtani to each record a hit +200 (Fox)
Segura is -300 to get a hit.
Merrifield is -500 to get a hit.
Ohtani is -450 to get a hit.
This parlay is supposed to pay -105. This is a massive boost and I am going to take a shot. I am in.




NBA
DET +3
Yes, I know what the Pistons roster looks like, but how are the Cavs road favorites over anyone?




MLB
Nothing at this time.



Let’s Get Weird
Celtics/Sixers/Heat/Jazz/Wiz +216 ML Parlay

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 44-41 51.76%
Hoops Parlay Record 23-31 +689
Hoops Odds Boosts 47-71 +3220
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 56-46 54.90%
NBA Model 358-359 49.93%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball overall Record 9-23 -216
Baseball Games 3-4 -162
Baseball Parlay Record 1-6 -339
Baseball odds boosts Record 5-13 +285

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