I need to remember that baseball is not the same as basketball. Massive favorites continue to lose all the time. Yes, it happens in the NBA, but not to this frequency and this early in the season. The money line favorite parlay is shaky at the moment. I am going to pump the brakes a little. I would also offer some caution for the NBA as teams are doing weird things for rest, tanking, or playoff positioning.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
MIL -4
CLE +7
LAL +6
PHO -12 (Highest Rated in model)
The model really likes the Suns a ton, which I get since they have quietly been stacking wins.
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 again? I know it is a small slate but come on Fan Duel. Pass.
Tatum and brown to combine for 50+ points +120 (DK)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Brown’s point prop is set to 22.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
As you can tell their prop total puts them right around this number. However, the advantage of having them combined is not as great as just parlaying them to both go over. I would rather parlay them to both go over at +274, than combined at +120. Pass on this boost.
Bucks/Warriors/Celtics to all win +200 (Fox)
This is not far off here as this parlay should pay +183. My assumption is that the Bucks number is smaller because of the status of Giannis. I think I would rather add in the Suns and boost this even more. While this is a back-to-back for the Bucks, if Giannis is ruled in, or Trae young is ruled out, this number will jump making this a better boost. I am in here. If the news breaks for the Hawks or Bucks, you should run here and bet this ASAP.
Jaylen Brown and Devin Booker 1+ dunk each +400 (Fox)
I wish they would stop with this. Pass.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Akil Baddoo to hit a HR +770 (DK)
This guys has unexpectedly been on fire. Having said that, I am passing. The Tigers are a dog and have a team total under four runs. Of course, he can hit a home run easily since he has been crushing. However, I am passing here.
Betts over 1.5 hits and over .5 SB and Dodgers to win +1400 (DK)
I mean, why not add like six other things into this? This is busy. The Dodgers are massive favorites tonight. Since this game is so late, nothing is listed at this time. Betts does have multiple hits in three of eight games this year. Betts also has two stolen bases. This is not the craziest thing in the world since he has the ability, but this is asking a ton. I am passing.
Bryce Harper or JD Martinez to hit a HR +150 (Fox)
The weather is shaky in one of these games and it is not that warm. While that does not guarantee that a home run will not be hit, but I need to be more aware of the colder spring weather. Harper is +380 to hit a HR.
JD Martinez is +400 to hit a HR.
As with most of these, I would rather bet them individually. Pass.
ATL/SEA/CWS all to win +450 (Fox)
Anyone else had enough of the money line baseball parlays? I have. This should pay +389 and all three are favored, while Seattle is a marginal one at best. I am going to try this one more time. I am in.
Betts or Laureano to hit a HR +225 (Fox)
No info is posted for player props yet.
NATS/TB/OAK to all win +300 (Fox)
All three are favored, but this is not as good of a boost as the other game. This should pay around +272. I am passing on this one. I wish it were a little more solid.
NBA
Nothing at this time.
MLB
SD -159
SD -1.5 runs +102
The Padres are not losing three in a row to the Pirates.
Let’s Get Weird
Bucks/Warriors/Celtics/Suns ML Parlay +237 (DK)
I mean, all the favorites winning tonight, what could possibly go wrong. Everyone is battling for playoff position. The Suns should roll. The Warriors barely played three quarters last night. The Celtics well, they are all over the place. Now, I mentioned the Bucks above, but here is to hoping they do not take the night off as they have done before. Also, make sure to shop around on these parlay prices.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 43-41 51.19%
Hoops Parlay Record 20-28 +412
Hoops Odds Boosts 47-67 +3620
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 53-45 54.08%
NBA Model 344-349 49.63%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball overall Record 6-20 -803
Baseball Games 1-3 -264
Baseball Parlay Record 1-5 -239
Baseball odds boosts Record 4-12 -300
Win The Weekends 