Basketball and Baseball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus NBA Computer Model Plays 4-14-2021

My kid’s baseball and softball is in full swing. It feels like every night I will be at the field. If I do not respond to your question or comment, that is why! I place my bets much earlier in the day for that reason.

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
MIL -9.5
PHI -8
CHA -3.5
SAS -5.5
CHI -9.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
NYK +2.5
DET +3.5
GSW -11.5
IND -5
MEM +2
WAS -2.5
MIA +5.5



NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Zion and Randle to combine for 60+ points +250 (FD)
Randle’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is juiced.
Zion’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the under is juiced.
This is a tough one to make a case for betting. The Knicks are very slow and play great defense. Yet, Zion has been playing very well. In this case, you need both guys to go over their prop with the most likely scenario being Zion to score 35 and Randle to score 25. If that happens, you can parlay that combo and it should pay +510. I realize this boost gives you more options, but I am passing.


Luka to make 3+ threes and Mavs to win +220 (FD)
Completive game with a small spread.
Luka’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the over is very heavily juiced at -170.
The down side is Dallas is a small road favorite tonight. If you parlay the prop and the game, it should pay +160. While the small spread and being on the road concerns me, the prop numbers say they expect Luka to get there. In that case, this becomes the Mavs money line at +220. I am in.



Nets/Bulls/Nuggets to all win +585 (DK)
Do not let the name of the Brooklyn Nets fool you. This is a road back-to-back for the Nets. At this moment, we have no idea who will play for Brooklyn. While this is a boost at +460, I need more information. If some of the Nets are ruled in, run over and bet this. The Bulls and Nuggets are solid favorites. Pass on this, until we know the Nets situation.
*Nets ruled people out.


Middleton and George to make 3+ Threes +200 (Fox)
Middleton’s made threes prop is set to 1.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
There are no props for PG at this time. This is a back-to-back for the Clippers and he may sit out. If he plays, you can lock this in. The problem is that Middleton’s game starts at 430 Eastern and we may not have clarity on the Clippers at that time. Pass for now.
*Clippers ruled people out.

Bulls/Clippers/Warriors/Nuggets to all win +150 (Fox)
This roughly exactly what it should pay. Meh, in terms of this being a boost you must bet. You can just parlay them together on another site for a similar price. Pass on the boost.
*Clippers ruled people out.



MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Alonso to HR and Mets to win +870 (DK)
The Mets are a small dog in this game. Alonso is +390 to HR tonight. If you parlay these two, it should pay +605. This is a pretty substantial boost. Alonso has only one homerun this season, but this boost really intrigues me. I feel like the swings in taking stuff like this is going to be wild and I am going to pass on these more often than play them. Yet, tonight I am going to take a shot. I am in.


ATL/TB/HOU to all win +230 (DK)
This is a slight boos as it should pay +211. All three are favored and this makes sense to play. I am in.



Ohtani/Castellanos/Machado to each get a hit +250 (Fox)
All three of these guys are -320 or higher. If you parlay them all together it pays, +117. This is a solid boost and I am in.




NBA
Nothing at this time.




MLB
SD -1.5 runs -118



Let’s Get Weird
GSW/MIL/CHI/PHI ML Parlay +104 (Starts at 430 PM!!!)

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 43-41 51.19%
Hoops Parlay Record 20-27 +512
Hoops Odds Boosts 46-67 +3400
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 53-44 54.63%
NBA Model 337-344 49.48%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball overall Record 5-11 -385
Baseball Games 1-2 -146
Baseball Parlay Record 1-4 -139
Baseball odds boosts Record 4-10 -100

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