Had a close call in NBA DFS last night where I finished 17th in the big $20 GPP on Draft Kings. Obviously, I entered it in other things as well and it was a pretty good night. We also hit that baseball parlay which was nice and Steph Curry won that made threes boost almost in the first five minutes of the game. Overall, a really good night. Like always, we are right back at it tonight.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
TOR -2IND +3
CHA -2
UTA -17
PHO -3 (Highest Rated in Model)
BOS +1.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 Boost is always a pass for me.
Tatum to score 25+ and the Celtics to win +235 (DK)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Tatum is -158 to score 25+ points tonight. The Celtics are a small 1.5-point underdog in this one. This parlay should pay +191, so it is a boost. However, this is not large enough for me to take the wildly inconsistent Celtics on the road in Portland. I am passing.
Dame and CJ 3+ 3’s each +100 (Fox)
Dame’s made threes prop is set to 3.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
CJ’s made threes prop is set to 3.5 and the over is juiced.
Dame is -390 to make 3+ threes.
CJ is -350 to make 3+ threes.
If you parlay this, it should pay -143. Fire away. I am in.
Capela and Siakam 2+ dunks each +600 (Fox)
Why? Seriously, why the dunk props?
Capela has 128 dunks in 47 games.
Capela averages 2.72 dunks per game.
Siakam has 29 dunks in 44 games.
See, this is why I barely even look at them. Siakam averages .65 dunks a game. This is asking a ton from Siakam, even with the +600 price. Pass.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
25% profit boost on any MLB bet (DK)
I will use this the same way I did yesterday. Details below.
Charlie Blackmon to hit a HR +645 (DK)
There are no props out listed for this game since it starts much later tonight. I am going to say this will be a sizeable boost, however, Trevor Bauer is pitching for the Dodgers and I do not think I want to target him in this spot. Pass, but may revisit if the numbers are so far off on this one.
NYY/Rays/Brewers to all win +500 (DK)
This is a boost as it should pay +424. The Cubs offense has been awful this year and they lost again last night to the Brewers. I am inclined to back Milwaukee again here. The Rays are favored, so I am in for that. The NYY have a ton of talent and are small dogs. I can get behind this due to the boost and whom I am betting on. I doubt you will ever see me do this with the Pirates. I am in.
DJ/Brantley/Trout all 1 or more hits +250 (Fox)
DJ -470 to get a hit.
Brantley currently has no line.
Trout currently has no line.
This is something I will have to revisit later this evening. Pass for the moment.
NYY/Rays/Braves all to win +475 (Fox)
This should pay +399. Both Atlanta and Tampa are decently sized favorites tonight. The NYY are small dogs, but are still the Yankees. Considering the Braves lost last night, I think they can bounce back tonight. I am going to take advantage of this boost and back the NYY talent. I am in.
NBA
Suns -3
MLB
SD -1.5 runs -136
Let’s Get Weird
SD/LAD ML Parlay +104 with DK Boost
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 42-41 50.60%
Hoops Parlay Record 20-27 +512
Hoops Odds Boosts 45-67 +3300
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 52-44 54.16%
NBA Model 335-340 49.62%
Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball overall Record 5-11 +051
Baseball Games 1-1 -010
Baseball Parlay Record 1-3 -039
Baseball odds boosts Record 4-8 +100
Win The Weekends 