Basketball and Baseball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus NBA Computer Model Plays 4-6-2021

How did that game not go over last night? Oh, Gonzaga shot horribly from the field. If there is one theme in basketball now that is consistent, if one teams shoots 50% from three and the other 20%, you know who will win. Anyway, we transition to the NBA, MLB and of course the Masters this week. What a fantastic time of the sports-betting year! ppyHa

Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!


NBA Model Plays
CHI -1
PHI -2
ATL -3.5
LAL +1
MEM +5 (Highest Rated in Model)
DEN -12.5
POR +6
MIL -6.5



NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
50% Profit boost on one NBA game (DK)
I will be using this for sure. It will be listed below.



Curry and Giannis over 59.5 points combined +135 (DK)
Curry’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Giannis’s point prop is set to 28.5
This is tough because both will have to be around 30+ in order to get there tonight.
Giannis is +108 and Curry is +104 to score 30+. If you parlay them to both score 30+ it pays +290. Obviously, the combo gives you a better chance, but you need this game to stay close and both of them to score, especially Curry. I would rather parlay them to both be at 30+ for +290. Pass on this boost.



Simmons to record a double-double and the Sixers to  win +450 (Fox)
A parlay to record 10+ points, 10+ rebound and the Sixers to win pays +555. Even if you replace the rebounds with assists, it should pay +992. No matter how you look at it, it needs to pay more to be worth it. Pass on this boost.


Sixers/Nuggets/Bucks to all win +200 (Fox)
This is a slight boost as it should pay +170. The Nuggets are going to win and the Bucks should win. The Sixers are slight road favorites tonight and I kind of like this. Yet, it makes more sense to stay away until Joel Embiid is fully back. Pass.


LaVine and Butler 1+ dunks each +135 (Fox)
Remember that Butler does not dunk as often as we think, according to the data. Pass.



Embiid/Tatum/Ja 20+ points each +250 (Fox)
Embiid’s point prop is set 27.5 and the over is juiced.
Embiid is -1100 to score 20+ points.
Tatum’s point prop is set to 24.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Tatum is -335 to score 20+ points.
Ja’s point prop is set to 17.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Ja is +138 to score 20+ points.
This should pay as a parlay +232. This is a slight boost and requires Ja to go over his prop by a few points to get there. I was hoping this would turn out to be greater than it ended up being. You can fire on this if you want, but I am not excited to take Ja against the Heat. Pass.




Pelicans/Sixers/Heat to all win +600 (Fox)
This is a boost as it should pay +508. Yet, the Pelicans are a road dog. The Sixers are short road favorites and the Heat are decently sized favorites. I am not a fan of taking this big of a dog unless I liked them before seeing the boost. While the math is on your side, you can fire, but I am passing. Pass.





MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kris Bryan to HR and Cubs to win +525 (DK)If you parlay this on FD it pays +554. Pass on this boost.

Mets/Rays/Dodgers to all win +405 (DK)
All three are favored tonight and if you parlay them it should pay +348. You are also backing the best pitcher in each game. I am in on this.

Bogaerts/Yelich/Teoscar Hernandez to each record a hit +250 (Fox)
Xander is -260 to record a hit.
Yelich is -330 to record a hit.
Hernandez is -360 to record a hit.
This parlay should pay +131. Why not? This is a solid price for the parlay and I am going to take a shot. I am in.



Phillies/Rockies/Jays to all win +650 (Fox)
If you have some gamble in you, this is a pretty solid boost. It should pay +565. All three games have tight money lines and it is worth it if you liked these sides before. I am passing though, but you can fire.


Judge to HR +260 (FD)
Judge is +255 on Draft Kings. This is not much of a boost. Pass.



NBA
Den -12.5
This is a road back-to-back for the Pistons in one of the toughest places to play. I used my DK boost on this.




MLB
Nothing at this time.



Let’s Get Weird
You know those free bets you can earn? I have an idea if you have them. This is very weird, but you can on do this on DK. Some of you have earned free bets for completing missions, or opting in on things, so this is insane, but fun.
Bryson to win the Masters +1100
NYY ML
LAD ML
SDP ML
Bucks ML
Nuggets ML
+5593

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 40-40 50%
NCAA Record 17-21 44.73%
NCAA Tourney Record 8-9 47.05%
Hoops Parlay Record 20-26 +612
Hoops Odds Boosts 42-66 +2880
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 49-40 55.05%
NBA Model 305-314 49.27%

Baseball
2020-2021 Season Record
Baseball overall Record 1-1 -010
Baseball Parlay Record 0-1 -100
Baseball odds boosts Record 3-5 +150

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