The NCAA games on Monday and Tuesday just feel wrong. Yes, I am going to be the person complaining that a game should not start at 10:00 PM Eastern. Seriously, why? Do they not want anyone to stay up and watch it?
I realize my post yesterday may have confused people; no, I did not sell all my NBA Top Shot moments and take all my money out. I did take a good chunk of profit that I had sitting in my Dapper and withdrawal it to my bank account. It was fast and easy. I still believe in Top Shots, but it is not the printing press it had been before. It is still profitable to buy packs and flip things though. I am still holding some moments that there are fewer than 15,000.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
CHA -3
DEN -4.5
ATL +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model, but not very high at all.)
ORL +10.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Jokic to record a triple-double +380 (FD)
Jokic is +333 on Draft Kings to record a triple-double.
As we know, points will not be an issue for Jokic. Jokic’s rebound prop is set to 10.5 and the under is heavily juiced. Jokic’s assist prop is set to 8.5 and the under is also heavily juiced. The Sixer defense, even without Embiid has been very good. Considering this is a small boost, but should be a slower paced game, I am happy to fade this. Pass for me.
Gordon to score over 14.5 points and Nuggets to win +280 (DK)
Gordon’s point prop is set to 13.5 and the under is slightly juiced. Gordon is +126 to score 15+ points.
This parlayed together should pay +199. Gordon scored 12 in his first game with Denver and this is right around what he should score nightly in his new scenario. As insane as it is, I kind of want to play this. I realize the Nuggets could win easily and Gordon could score six points. Bahh, I cannot pull the trigger. I am passing, but I think if you want to fire, it is fine.
Booker and Trae to record 8+ made threes +1500 (DK)
As we know from previous Trae boosts like this he averages around 2.5 made threes a game. His made threes prop for tonight is, you guessed it, 2.5, yet the over is heavily juiced. Booker’s made threes prop is set to 1.5 and the over is incredibly juiced at -162. While this may appear to be a large payout, it is kind of in line with what it should be. If you parlay Trae and Booker to make 4+ threes is pays +1659. There is no way I can combine these to make this to be a boost. Trae to make 5+ threes and Booker to make 3+ threes is also +1643. Pass from me.
Sixers/Clippers/Suns to all win +375 (Fox)
Taking Philly in Denver without Embiid is a hard no.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Gonzaga and Michigan to both win +100 (FD)
This should pay -155. I believe that Gonzaga will win. I am in, see below.
Gonzaga and UCLA to both win +360 (DK)
This should pay +325. Since I believe Gonzaga will win, I think you can see where this is going. If each one has a max bet of $50, you can play both here with zero risk.
$50 Gonz/Mich if it wins you make $50. (Get your $50 bet back so $100 comes back to account)
$50 Gonz/UCLA if it wins you make $180. (Get your $50 bet back so $220 comes back to your account)
Of course, this is all predicated on Gonzaga winning outright. The downside is if Gonzaga loses the first game, you lose everything. I am 100% betting both of these. I have the Gonzaga money line to close the parlay from yesterday, so you know I am on them. I believe the Zags win and then we have a free roll to break even, or make +260 tonight. I am in.
25% Profit Boost for every game on Draft Kings.
Gonzaga and Michigan to win by 10+ Points +400 (Fox)
This line is slightly too low. If you parlay their alternative line of each to win by 10+ it should pay +469. Pass on this.
MLB Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Did you think we would not be covering this too?
NYY/Cubs/Dodgers to all win +230 (DK)
Break down coming soon!
NBA
Den -4.5
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
We are a Gonzaga away here!
HOU/BAY/GONZ/BRK/DAL/UTA +146
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 38-36 51.35%
NCAA Record 16-19 45.71%
NCAA Tourney Record 7-7 50%
Hoops Parlay Record 13-25 -402
Hoops Odds Boosts 41-58 +3580
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 45-36 55.55%
NBA Model 281-288 49.38%
Win The Weekends 