I decided to take some money off the table on NBA Top Shot. I cashed out on Friday and the money is in my account right now. I would say that ended up being faster than I could have hoped. After such a delay, I will take it. It feels really weird having NCAA Tourney on a Monday with a massive NBA slate. There are plenty of boosts for college and the NBA, so here we go!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
WAS +5
MIN +11.5
NYK +4
NOR +4
MEM -7
DAL -11 (Highest Rated in Model)
DET +3.5
SAC +2.5
UTA -16
GSW +1
MIL +2
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Harden to record a triple-double and Brooklyn to win +260 (FD)
This should pay +196. This game has a massive total and if it stays close, Harden can easily get there as he does almost nightly. Harden’s rebound prop is set to 9.5 and the over is juiced. Harden’s assist prop is set to 10.5 and the over is heavily juiced. Harden is +160 on DK to record a triple-double. I am in.
Giannis and Leonard to score 25+ +175 (FD)Both of their props are above this at 27.5 and 26.5 points. This should pay +138. This should be a tight competitive game and I like this. I get both players to score under their prop. I am in.
Giannis to record 3+ dunks and Bucks to win +360 (DK)
He averages around 2.5 dunks a game. The Bucks are small dogs in this spot. Pass. I hate dunk props.
Heat/Mavericks/Raptors to win +240 (DK)
This should pay +188 and all four teams are favored. However, I cannot go against the Knicks at home, or back the Raptors on the road. Pass. I am not sure what Toronto is even trying to do at this point.
Heat/Nets/Grizzlies +175 (Fox)
This should pay +125, so feel free to fire. I already said I do not feel comfortable taking the Heat in New York. I know Randle is questionable, but if he is ruled out and this boost is still posted, then I am coming back. The other two games in this one are more than fine. I am currently out, unless Randle sits, then I am in.
Tatum and Butler 1+ dunks each +200 (Fox)
Nope. Pass.
Zion/Kyrie to score 30+ each +400 (Fox)
Zion’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the under is juiced.
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
This should pay around +325. The down side here is you need Zion to have a fantastic game and Kyrie to score and that game to remain close. While that could happen, you need both guys to go over their number by a few points. If both games were super competitive, I could see it. I am going to pass here.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Houston and Baylor to win +100 (FD)
This should pay -154, so this is a great boost. If you think both favorites are going to win, you should be in. I have to take this one. This is too much of a boost to avoid considering we are getting both favorites. I am in.
Houston and Baylor to win +100 (Fox)
This is a max bet of $10 for me. Combined I can bet $60 on this. I am in.
Baylor to win and 149+ points scored +180 (FD)
The total is 148.5 in this game and Baylor is an eight-point favorite. If you parlay them to win and the over, it should pay +145. I think Baylor wins here, so this is betting the over at +180. These games have been trending under, so be aware of that.
Houston and Baylor to win by 5+ points +175 (DK)
This is a break on the line for both teams. This is about the price it should be. I think you are better off taking the boost on FD where they both just have to win. Pass for me.
25% Profit Boost for every game on Draft Kings.
20% profit boost on any 3+ leg parlay Draft Kings
NBA
Dal -11
I am rocking with the model.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
I am already on the Houston/Baylor combo, so why not add it it?
HOU/BAY/GONZ/BRK/DAL/UTA +146
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 37-36 50.68%
NCAA Record 15-19 44.11%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-7 46.15%
Hoops Parlay Record 12-25 -502
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-57 +3420
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 44-36 55%
NBA Model 272-286 48.74%
Win The Weekends 