Would you like some NCAA tourney boost for the Sweet 16? I know I would. Well, here we go. Also, an NBA warning for tonight. Although the trade deadline has passed, these players have to pass physicals, get through protocols and may not be cleared to play yet. Be aware of that when you lock in your wagers.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
BRK -6
BOS +5.5
PHO -4
NOP +2.5
HOU +4
POR -11.5
CHA +.5
IND +4
MEM +9.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
ATL -7.5
LAL -3.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Giannis to score the first basket +480 (FD)
Nope, never for me. This are too random. Pass.
Giannis and Tatum over 59.5 points combined +265 (DK)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 23.5 and the over is juiced.
Giannis’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
They are expected to score a combined 52 points, so they would need to go over by eight points to get there.
Tatum is +270 to score 30+ points and Giannis is +106. While them both betting 30 or more is not necessary, you will need some combo here. If you parlay them to both get 30+ is pays +576 on Fan Duel. Even if you make this 25+ for Tatum and 35+ for Giannis, the parlay would pay +528. No matter how you slice this, you will need both of them to get there and the payout should be much higher. Pass.
Trae to make 3+ threes and Hawks to win +190 (DK)
Trae’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the under is juiced.
Trae is -106 to make 3+ threes. If you parlay Trae to make 3+ threes and the Hawks to win it should pay +148, so this is a small boost. However, there is no clue who may actually play for the Warriors at this moment. The Hawks do not exactly blow people out, but it is in play here. Shockingly, Trae only made 3+ threes in four of his last 11 games since March first. Pass.
Giannis and Zion 3+ dunks each +150 (Fox)
Zion averages 2.5 dunks a game and Giannis is in the same range. This is almost a fair price and if it was 2+ dunks I would be all in. This is on the verge of being a great wager, but not exactly there. Pass for me.
Luka/Booker/Ingram 25+ each +250 (Fox)
Luka’s point prop is set to 29.5
Luka is -325 to score 25+ points.
Ingram’s point prop is set to 25.5.
Ingram is -138 to score 25+ points.
Booker’s points prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Booker is -142 to score 25+ points.
If you parlay them all to score 25+ it should pay +284. Sometimes Fox Bet gives us a nice boost on these plays, but not tonight. You are better off parlaying this on Fan Duel, without a limit on how much you can wager with a larger payout. Pass on this boost.
Bucks/Suns/Nuggets +333 to all win (Fox)
This should pay +288, but includes two games with small spreads. If you like, the Nuggets and Suns go for it. I am passing.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nova or Syracuse to win +150 (FD)
This one is weird. Nova is a 7.5-point dog and missing a starter did not hurt them in the first two rounds. That will change here. Syracuse is a 6.5-point dog and I like them much more than NOVA. I think I would rather play Syracuse at +225 to win instead of this boost. Let me say, this is a fair price to have either; I just have not been on Nova for a while and will continue to fade. Pass on this for me.
50% profit boost on every round 3 game on Draft Kings
Honestly, why would you bet anywhere else if you could use this? I mean a number would have to be pretty far off for me to not make a wager on Draft Kings using this. This is great and thank you Draft Kings. (Max bet $50) It might be annoying, but I would use this boost up to $50 on DK, then go and make larger bets wherever the best price is.
20% profit boost on any 3+ leg parlay Draft Kings
Two obvious money line plays here in Baylor and Loyola Chicago. Just need to find a third team that is -500 or less.
Any double digit seed to make the final four +230 (DK)
With this bet you get UCLA, Oral Roberts, Oregon State and Syracuse. I suppose there is a world where Oregon State and Syracuse wins and this bet is over tomorrow. I just think you would be better off betting a money line parlay of any of these teams in back-to-back games. I think Syracuse is the most likely, but this is more of a fun Cinderella bet than anything I am into. Pass.
USC and UCLA both to win +515 (DK)
This is a boost as it pays +466, but unless you liked these two already, I would pass. UCLA is a decent sized dog and USC is a tiny favorite. This is not for me. Pass.
FSU and Gonzaga both to win +160 (DK)
This should pay +120. Let me say this Gonzaga is not losing. You already know I am on FSU at 40/1 to win the entire thing. Of course, I have to back FSU here if I think they can win it all. I am in.
Ark/SYR/Bay to all win +450 (DK)
This should pay around +389, but you are taking a 6.5-point dog in Syracuse to win out right. I am passing on this, but if you like Syracuse, feel free to fire. The other two are larger favorites and will be in a great position to win.
HOU/BAY to both win by 10+ +560 (DK)
Both of these two teams are giving much shorter spreads than this. Houston is -6.5 and Baylor is -7.5 now. If you parlay them to both win by nine points, it pays +438. This is a fair number considering the situation, but I am not firing this up and asking both teams to win and cover by several points. Pass.
Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title -120 (Fox)
I guess they could play for the title, but I am not paying this price for the two favorites.
Anyone besides Gonzaga or Baylor to win the title +100 (Fox)
No thanks again here. I guarantee that anyone playing against either of these two teams in the finals will be a dog with a better money line price. Of course, if they play in the finals, then it will not matter. Pass.
NBA
Nets -6
I bet Harden plays and they win here.
NCAAB
FSU +2.5
FSU +120
Let’s Get Weird
Three Money Line Parlays! Shop around and find where you can get the best price as they change often.
Brooklyn/Portland/Utah/ATL +163
Brooklyn/Portland/Utah/ATL/Loy Chi/Bay/Gonz +407
Loy CHI/Bay/Gonz +102
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 37-35 51.38%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 10-22 -415
Hoops Odds Boosts 40-57 +3420
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 42-36 53.84%
NBA Model 264-280 48.52%
Win The Weekends 