We have a break in the NCAA tourney until Saturday. This new schedule feels very weird to me. Either way, the NBA never stops. I will say be careful the next few days. The trade deadline is Thursday and teams may rest people they are planning on trading. You cannot trade an injured player as easily. Just be cautious and if you want to wait until the game is about to start or live bet, I understand completely.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
DEN -7.5
LAL +5.5
NYK -2.5
PHO -2 (Highest Rated in Model, but not very high at all comparatively)
PHI -4
BRK +3.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Sixers to win the East +600 (Fox)
Sixers to win the East + 575 (FD)
Sixers to win the East +550 (DK)
The top two are listed as boosts, while the DK one is just the current price.
I have the Sixers to win the NBA title, so if I was going to fire it would be on the Fox one obviously. Pass on Fan Duel. *It appears Fan Duel has now taken this boost down. No idea why, maybe the Brogdon trade rumors?
Fan Duel has two of those 3×2 boosts and I always pass. As I stated before, show me data on how many threes teams take in the first three minutes and then we can discuss. Until that time, pass on these.
Dame to score 10+ points in the 4th quarter +245 (DK)
What if Harden ends up sitting and this game is a blowout? Pass.
Nuggets/Pelicans/Knicks to all win +260 (DK)
Denver is -7.5 (-295).
Pelicans -5.5 (-235).
Knicks -2.5 (-146).
This should pay around +222 and is a pretty good boost. Denver is playing a weakened Magic team; the Pelicans get the remnants of the Lakers. The only real concern is the Knicks against the suddenly not awful Wizards. I am in on this though. I feel safe getting the Knicks to win at +260 since I think the others are solid.
Zion to have 1+ dunks +100 (Fox)
We know he dunks a little more than twice a game. I am in. MY max bet is $10, but whatever, go get your free $10.
Pelicans/Suns/Sixers to all win +350 (Fox)
This should pay +296, but it has two teams needing to win on the road. While the Sixers seems safe, something about the Suns in Miami feels like a coin toss. I am passing, but I get why you would want to fire.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
This will return soon, I am sure.
NBA
DEN -7.5
Coming off a loss and the Magic may hold people out to trade them.
NO -5.5
Is this a trap? This feels like a trap. Watch Lonzo sit this game and be traded.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 33-35 48.52%
NCAA Record 15-17 46.87%
NCAA Tourney Record 6-5 54.54%
Hoops Parlay Record 9-22 -675
Hoops Odds Boosts 38-54 +3620
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 40-35 53.33%
NBA Model 249-273 47.70%
Win The Weekends 