Happy Tourney Day!!!!!!!!!!
Fox Bet is having some issues. They have removed NBA completely from their website, so obviously, no mentions of NBA stuff from Fox Bet today. Some of you tweeted me later about the dunk prop and I said it was fair and fine to play and you guys hit that as a winner! Great job! If that happens again, feel free to tweet me again!
I did make a few NCAA bets for the first two days of the tourney. I tend to love bet the tourney a ton as I think you can get a feel and watch how teams and coaches adjust. I will be all over Twitter the next few days in addition to the normal articles; I will be talking more about college the next few days.
To celebrate the tourney Fan Duel is doing a spread the love event for Thursday. Just bet Michigan State +96 or whatever they are and you will win $45 on your $50 wager. Go collect your free money.
I have added two futures in Florida State at +4000 and Illinois at +700. That gives me WVU, ILL, and FSU. Notice that the teams I am taking cannot meet until much deeper in the tourney.
I also got really wild and threw and tiny wager on Illinois to win the title and Bryson to win the Masters at +8100, sure why not. Draft Kings will allow you to do these things. I also have Bryson at +1700 and Xander at +3600 to win the Masters from bets I made a while ago. Reminder, if you get free bets you should try and use them this way!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
SAS -4.5
SAC +7
MEM -7.5
DET +1.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
UTA -5
BRK -10.5
IND +4
CHI +7
POR +3
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
James Harden to record a triple-double +270 (FD)
Harden is +155 to record a triple-double on FD.
I am not even going to mention Harden’s point prop as it is well over 10+.
Harden’s rebound prop is set to 9.5 and the under is juiced.
Harden’s assist prop is set to 10.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
This feels like a great price on a bet for Harden to basically go over his rebound prop. We know he is getting there in points and he can miss his assist prop and still get there. I am in.
Heat/Nets/Nuggets to all win +200 (DK)
This is a boost as it pays +141 on Fan Duel. This is a bet on the Heat to win, as the other two should be fine. I kind of like the Heat here and am in.
LaVine and White to score 50+ combined +620 (DK)
LaVine’s point prop is set to 24.5 and over is slightly juiced.
I cannot even find a White point prop. This is not happening. White is no longer starting and as you would imagine, his scoring has dropped off as well. Pass.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ohio State and Baylor to win by 15+ points +120 (FD)
Ohio State is -15.5 today.
Baylor is -25.5 today.
If you move Ohio State to -14.5, you have to pay -140. The most I can move the Baylor line to is -23.5. If you parlay those two together, it pays +169. You get an extra eight points here with Baylor and the payout is still pretty good. Getting a deal on both lines is very solid. This is all about Ohio State covering at a fantastic price. I am in.
Purdue/SD ST/WVU all to win +200 (FD)
I like two out of the three here. As I wrote yesterday, I like Syracuse to beat San Diego State and they are a small three-point dog. This should pay close to +138, so it is a boost. If you like SD ST, go play this. The other two are sizeable favorites and should win. I am passing because of my Syracuse love. Playing a zone like that on short notice is hard to prepare for a replicate. Pass for me, but you can fire here.
Villanova to win and over 143+ points scored +190 (FD)
As you will notice, all of these sites have stuff for Nova. Hmmmmmmmmmmmm. Insert emoji eyes. Read the room here everyone.
Daily 25% live bet boost on DK
I am 100% using this every day. I will post my plays on twitter!
Any 12 Seed to beat a 5 -125 (DK)
This is -400 or so on every website and I have bet a 12 seed plus the points. I am in.
Don’t mess with Texas Boost Houston and Baylor to win by 30+ +1400 (DK)
You really want to ask one team to cover by more than five and another team to cover by more than 10?! This price is wild, but this is not something I would advise. Pass.
Nova/Syr/UNC to win +525 (DK)
This should pay +481, so it is a boost. However, I have bet against Winthrop already and UNC is such a tiny favorite it is a coin flip. Again, if you liked these three to win before, then go ahead and fire. For me though, pass.
TT/Tenn/SYR to all win +400 (DK)
TT is -4 (-190)
Tenn is -9 (-460)
Syracuse is +3 (+136)
Like with most of these money line parlay boosts, did you like these three before you saw the boost? This should pay +339 parlayed together. I think this might just be betting on Syracuse only provided the other two handle their business. I kind of like Syracuse, but I am staying away from this.
Arkansas /UNC/SDST to all win +315 (DK)
Ark -9.5 (-390)
UNC -1.5 (-118)
SD ST -3 (-162)
First off, way to go DK putting both sides of a game in different boosts, so they cannot lose both. This should pay +275 or so at the moment so it is a boost. Just like above, if you liked this before, and then proceed. I have zero faith in UNC and as I said above I kind of like Syracuse. Pass for me.
WVU and Nova to both win by 10+ points +373 (DK)
WVU is -13 and Nova is -6.5 points.
The best comp I can come up with is WVU -11 parlayed with Nova -8.5, which pays +267. I assume adding points to Nova will increase that payout. This is a boost, however, I have already bet Winthrop for +6.5. So, pass for me.
20% profit boost on any 4+ leg parlay (DK)
See below!
Gonzaga to win their region +100 (Fox)
I saw this the other day and assume it is still up. This is a massive boost as the Zags are favored to win their region at -260. Obviously, you can and should play this.
Nova to make the sweet 16 +200 (Fox)
I bet against them in round one. Why is NOVA in boosts on every site? I want to mention this is a boost with Nova at +145 to make the sweet 16. Pass for me.
Michigan to make the Final Four +200 (Fox)
They lost a starter to injury and he may not play the entire tourney. This is not a boost as DK has them at +200 to make the final four. Pass on this boost.
OK ST to make the Final Four +650 (Fox)
They have the number one pick in the NBA draft, but I have bet Illinois to win the title. Small boost here as OK ST is +600 to make the final four. Maybe, if you have Illinois, this could make sense as a hedge with plus money.
Virginia to make the Final Four +1200 (Fox)
I have bet against them as well in round one, plus they are in Gonzaga’s bracket. Virginia is +1000 to make the final four on DK, so it is a boost, but I am passing. COVID issues and the ACC has been down this year. Moreover, they have to go through Gonzaga. Pass.
NBA
DET +1.5
I am rolling with the highest rated in the model.
NCAAB
Ohio +7
Winthrop +6.5
Winthrop +210 Money Line
Abilene Christian +9
Let’s Get Weird
Ark/Loy Chi/Tenn/Purd/Col +277 boosted to +333 (DK Boost)
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 31-34 47.69%
NCAA Record 9-13 40.9%
NCAA Tourney Record 0-1 0%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-20 -605
Hoops Odds Boosts 35-49 +3490
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 38-33 53.52%
NBA Model 235-259 47.57%
Win The Weekends 