Last night was nice 2-0 in odds boosts, the top play in the model came in and so did the Lakers. Right back at it tonight!
To celebrate the tourney Fan Duel is doing a spread the love event for Thursday. Just bet Michigan State and the points and you will win $45 on your $50 wager. Go collect your free money.
I have added two futures in Florida State at +4000 and Illinois at +700. That gives me WVU, ILL, and FSU. Notice that the teams I am taking cannot meet until much deeper in the tourney.
I also got really wild and threw and tiny wager on Illinois to win the title and Bryson to win the Masters at +8100, sure why not. Draft Kings will allow you to do these things. I also have Bryson at +1700 and Xander at +3600 to win the Masters from bets I made a while ago. Reminder, if you get free bets you should try and use them this way!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
UTA -4
OKC +6.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
ATL -9.5
CLE +10.5
NYK +7
NOR +2
LAL -8.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Tatum to score 25+ and Mitchell to make 3+ threes +300 (FD)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 23.5.
Mitchell’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Mitchell’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
If you parlay these two it should pay about +236, so this is a boost. This is almost giving you a chance to bet the over on Tatum for a great price. When they played in February, Mitchell made six threes and Tatum finished with 23 points. This is worth the risk in a close competitive game to me. I am in.
Lilliard to score 30+ and Portland to win +315 (FD)
Lillard’s point prop is set to 29.5 and the over is slightly juiced. Portland is also slightly favored here as well. If you parlay these, it should play closer to +250. This is a decent boost and if you like Portland, go ahead. I am just not so sure I like Portland tonight, so I will pass.
Mitchell and Tatum to score 54.4 or more points combined +210 (DK)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 23.5.
Mitchell’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
If you parlay them to both go over their point prop, it should pay +274. That parlay would also have you fall several points short of this number. Pass.
Zion to record over 3.5 dunks +400 (DK)
Zion has 78 dunks in 31 games, which is roughly 2.5 dunks per game. I know I hate these, but I kind of want to play this. The Blazers have zero answer for him in the post and this game has a crazy high total at 239. While I hate dunk props, I am going to play this one. I am in.
LaVine and Simmons 2+ dunks each +350 (Fox)
Just say no to dunk props that do not involve Giannis or Zion.
Jazz/Heat/Sixers to all win +170 (Fox)
This should pay +139, but I am scared of the Celtics now that they are mostly healthy. I am going to pass.
Mitchell/Brown/Butlers all to score 20+ +200 (Fox)
Brown’s point prop is set to 21.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Mitchell’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Butler’s point prop is set to 21.5 points.
Brown is -168 to score 20+ points.
Mitchell is -610 to score 20+ points.
Butler is -176 to score 20+ points.
If you parlay these together, it should pay +191, so this is a very slight boost. My only real concern here is Butler and the Heat may win in a blowout. Yet, we have a situation where everyone can miss their prop number by one point and still get there. I am in.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% profit boost on any 4+ leg parlay (DK)
NBA
Boston +4
I like them since they are finally getting healthy.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 31-31 50%
NCAA Record 9-13 40.9%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-19 -505
Hoops Odds Boosts 31-46 +2910
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 37-31 54.41%
NBA Model 225-246 47.77%
Win The Weekends 