To quote John Wick, “Yeah, I’m thinking I’m back.” Not yet 100%, but working my way. I just want to mention hitting three PGA winners in a row is insane. However, until then we have NBA and of course the NCAA Tourney on the horizon. To celebrate the tourney Fan Duel is doing a spread the love event for Thursday. Just bet Michigan State and the points and you will win $45 on your $50 wager. Go collect your free money.
I am sure I would add another NCAA future, but as of now, I just have WVU +3750. I am happy with this since they are now around +2000.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
MIL -8.5
CHA -3.5
NYK +8.5 (Highest Rates in model)
DET +3
IND +4.5
LAC -1.5 (I would watch for resting Clippers on the back-to-back)
MEM +6.5
LAL -2.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Kyrie to score 30+ and Harden to make 3+ threes +350 (FD)
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is every so slightly juiced.
Kyrie is +154 to score 30+ points.
Harden’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 and the over is juiced to high, I do not know why they have not moved it to 3.5. If you parlay these together, it should pay +300. This is a boost and the Harden part of it seems pretty easy. Surprisingly, Kyrie does not get over 30 very often and the Knicks may slow the Nets down slightly. I am going to pass here.
Kyrie to score first basket +500 (FD)
I will never play a first basket prop. Pass.
Harden to record a triple double and the Nets to win +320 (DK)
Harden to record a triple double on Fan Duel is +185.
Harden’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Harden’s assist prop is set to 10.5 and the over is juiced.
Harden’s rebound prop is set to 8.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
If you parlay Harden to record, a triple-double and the Nets to win it should pay +266. No matter how you slice it, this is a solid boost. The Nets are an eight-point favorite and I am in.
Lebron and Curry to score 30+ each +345 (DK)
Lebron’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
Curry’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the under is juiced.
Lebron is +106 to score 30+ points.
Curry is +136 to score 30+ points.
If you parlay these two on Fan Duel, it pays +350. Pass on this boost on Draft Kings.
Beal/Kyrie/Jokic to score 25+ points each +250 (Fox)
Kyrie’s point prop is set to 26.5 and the over is every so slightly juiced.
Beal’s points prop is set to 30.5 and the under is slightly juiced.
Jokic’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
If you parlay all three of them to score 25+ points, it should pay +232. Therefore, every player can miss their prop number by one point and this pays more than it should. I am in.
Hornets/Nets/Mavs to all win +350 (Fox)
Hornets are -3.5.
Nets are -8.
Mavs are currently +1.5.
This should pay around +333. I am currently passing on this, however, if the Clippers rule people out I am jumping on this. The moment you read the Clippers are resting push notification….run over and bet this and the Mavs. Until then, pass.
Giannis and Harden 1+ dunk each +600 (Fox)
We know Giannis dunks twice a game. Now, James Harden though three drunks in 33 games. This price is nowhere close to a number I would play. Pass.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% profit boost on any 4+ leg parlay (DK)
NBA
Lakers -2.5
The Lakers are rested and this is a back-to-back for the Warriors. I will always fade the Warriors in this situation. Warriors are 3-4 on back-to-backs this season.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 30-31 49.18%
NCAA Record 9-13 40.9%
Hoops Parlay Record 8-19 -505
Hoops Odds Boosts 29-46 +2340
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 36-31 53.73%
NBA Model 220-243 47.51%
Win The Weekends 