We are just waiting for packs perpetually from NBA Top Shot. Sigh. Delays, to stop the bots. While we wait a little, bit longer, a nice-sized NBA slate. A few teams are on back-to-backs and there are actually a few odds boosts I am recommending tonight.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
DAL +4.5
ORL +9
NYK -1.5
MEM +8.5
WAS +7.5
NOP +9 (Highest Rated in Model)
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Fan Duel just has two different 3×2 boosts. As you may know, this is a pass from me. If someone can show me some sort of data on how many threes every team attempts in the first three minutes of the game, I would be happy to break it down.
Luka and Embiid to each score 30+ points +230 (DK)
Luka’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the under is juiced.
Embiid’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the under is juiced.
Luka to score 30+ is -154.
Embiid to score 30+ is -160.
If you parlay them, it pays +161 on Fan Duel. This is a really solid boost with both guys needing to slightly miss their prop to pay off the boost. I am in.
Zion and Giannis to combine for over 4.5 Dunks +140 (DK)
Zion has 58 dunks in 30 games. Zion averages 1.93 dunks a game.
Giannis has 86 dunks in 31 games. Giannis averages 2.77 dunks a game.
Together they average 4.7 dunks per game. This actually works considering it pays plus money. I am in.
Embiid and Giannis one of more dunks each +100 (Fox Bet)
We know that Embiid dunks on average every other game. I am just going to avoid all Embiid dunk props unless they are paying +200 or more at this point. Pass.
Sixers/Nets/Nuggets all to win +150 (Fox Bet)
This is barely a boost at +146 on Fan Duel. However, I like it. I am in. If you opt in to the Thursday night NBA special in your challenges on Fox Bet, you also get a $10 free live bet for betting $20 or more on NBA. You can bet this boost and get a free $10 to have fun with.
Luka and Beal to score 31 or more each +275 (Fox Bet)
Luka’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the under is juiced.
Luka to score 30+ is -154.
Beal’s point prop is set to 30.5 and the over is juiced.
If you parlay Beal to score over 30.5 and Luka to score 30+ is pays +205.
While the Wizards playing in Denver is not great, this boost is worth playing at this price. I am in.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Michigan to win the Over 156.5 points to be scored +190 (DK)
The total is set to 154, so this is an easy pass.
SDSU/COL/OSU to all win +270 (DK)
This should pay +238, but two of the games feature smaller spread and one is on the road. Pass.
NBA
Sixers -4.5
I really like them tonight coming off some rest.
NOP +9
I know this is a back-to-back for the Pelicans and they are inconsistent, but the Bucks have been all over the place.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Just that parlay boost above.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 25-24 51.02%
NCAA Record 9-12 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 7-15 -245
Hoops Odds Boosts 23-31 +2070
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 30-24 55.55%
NBA Model 176-187 48.48%
Win The Weekends 