In what is a bigger slate I continue to be amazed the major sites do not offer more in terms of odds boosts. Nevertheless, I see some PGA boosts being listed for tomorrow. I will have an article up and take a look at them. Sadly, I did not get a NBA Top Shots pack last night. I was asleep and did eventually wake up and join the drop. With only 5,000 packs, I was 47,000 in line. Oh well. Either way, back on the NBA grind tonight.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
GSW +2.5
CLE +4
ATL +2.5
TOR +2.5 (Tied for Highest Rated In Model)
SAS -1
CHI -4
DET +9.5 (Tied for Highest Rated in Model)
CHA +10
LAL +9
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Lebron to record a triple double +380 (FD)
Lebron to record a triple double +350 (Fox Bet)
The two above are “boosts.” Over on Draft Kings you can bet Lebron to record a triple double for +425. Pass on these boosts.
Curry or Brogdon first basket +250 (FD)
Nope, never.
Mitchell to score 30+ points and make 3+ threes +310 (FD)
Mitchell’s point prop is set to 24.5 points.
Mitchell’s three prop is set to 2.5 and the over is juiced.
You can parlay Mitchell to hit the over on both these and it pays +140.
Mitchell is +240 to score 30+ points.
A parlay to score 30+ points and make over 2.5 threes pays +269, on Fan Duel. Yeah, you can pass on this boost on Fan Duel, when you can get a better number at the same book. Pass.
NBA 3+ team parlay 33% profit boost (DK)
I am going to use this! I will explain how below!
Lebron or Mitchell to score first basket +230 (DK)
Nope, never.
Curry to make 7+ threes and Warriors to win +330 (DK)
Curry to make 6+ threes and Warriors to win +275 (Fox Bet)
The Warriors are 2.5 point dogs. Curry’s made threes prop is set to 5.5 and the under is juiced.
If you bet Curry to make over 5.5 threes and the Warriors to win it pays +261. That means the Fox Bet boost is fine to play since it is a small boost. For one extra made three you can get all the way to +330 on Draft Kings. Curry has made 7+ threes in eight of 31 games. Considering the frequency with which Curry can make this many threes, it seems to reason this is a solid boost. However, this is a road back-to-back for the Warriors. Warriors are 2-2 on back-to-backs this season, but the Pacers are rested and this is a spot to avoid. Pass.
Warriors/Pelicans/Suns to all win +200 (Fox Bet)
If you parlay these on Fan Duel they pay +218. Pass on this boost.
Zion/LaVine/Edwards 1 or more dunks each +200 (Fox Bet)
I was so out on these dunk props, but then won a bunch in a row.
Zion has 58 dunks in 29 games.
LaVine has 28 dunks in 30 games.
Edwards has 18 dunks in 32 games and stole Yuta’s soul with a dunk last week.
This is on the borderline based upon the numbers above. The price is about what it should be, but I am going to pass.
Sabonis to record a triple double +900 (Fox Bet)
Sabonis is +700 on Fan Duel.
Sabonis is +800 on Draft Kings.
Sabonis point prop is set to 23.5 and the under is juiced.
Sabonis rebound prop is set to 12.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
Sabonis assist prop is set to 5.5 and the over is heavily juiced.
If you parlay Sabonis to have 10+ asissts/10+rebounds/15+ points it pays +651.
Sabonis has three triple doubles this season and has just missed several times. This is a good number considering all the factors. If the Warriors stay competitive on the back-to-back Sabonis will do well. I am in.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
These seem to always have one team lose.
Alabama/FSU to win +175 (DK)
FSU is -11.5 on the road tonight.
Alabama is two-point dog on the road tonight. If you parlay them together, it pays +140. I am not playing a 2-point road dog, unless I really like them. Pass.
Temple/Tenn/Clem to all win +550 (DK)
Clemson is -2.5 on the road. Temple is a four-point road dog. What is this boost? Pass.
NBA
Bulls -4
I love them tonight against Minnesota.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Pelicans/Jazz/Bulls Money Line Parlay +144 (Boosted on DK to +191)
Yes, betting against Lebron can be scary, but I like this.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 24-24 50%
NCAA Record 9-12 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-15 -436
Hoops Odds Boosts 23-30 +2170
Hoops Player Props 4-2 +530
NBA Model Highest Rated 30-22 57.69%
NBA Model 171-183 48.30%
Win The Weekends 