Going 3-0 on recommended odds boosts for +470 was very nice. While mostly everything else is around even, if you bet the highest rated in our model you would be hitting at 56%. Of course, I have to mention what we have done with player props and odds boosts. The NBA season is almost exactly two months old.
Hoops Odds Boosts 21-24 +2260
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
It has been a solid two months. Nevertheless, that is the past and we are moving on. I am not going to dwell on the Pelicans having an eight-point lead while getting points in the fourth quarter and losing by twenty. As they say in Ted Lasso, “be a gold fish.” In addition, if you have not watched, you should watch Ted Lasso on Apple TV.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
CHA +2
LAL -3.5
MEM +4
CHI +1.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
POR -4.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Butler or Lebron to record a triple double +130 (FD)
Butler is +380 (FD) and +350 (DK) to record a triple double.
Lebron is +250 (FD) and +330 (DK) to record a triple double.
I realize Butler has done this his last three games.
Math time like usual with these wagers.
$100 on boost and either makes a triple double you win $130.
$100 on Lebron and Butler to make a triple double.
$200 wager (with $100 on each) if Lebron gets there +$330. You make $130.
$200 wager (with $100 on each) if Butler gets there +$380 you make $180.
$200 wager (with $100 on each) both get there +$810 you make $610.
Of course, the upside is there to beat each separately, with the added downside of risking twice as much to achieve that upside. As is the case with most of these combo-triple double wagers, it is better to bet both separately for the potential gains than to just bet the boost. Pass on this boost.
LaMelo to score 20+ points and record 8+ assists +270 (FD)
First, I love LaMelo. I won a small GPP on Draft Kings thanks to him a few weeks ago. I have been playing him in DFS every night until he got to 9K was my plan. Both Martin’s are out and so is Devonte’ Graham for the Hornets. The Hornets catch the Warriors on a back-to-back and the game has a massive total at 233.5 points. LaMelo’s points prop is set to 17.5 and the over is slightly juiced. LaMelo’s assist prop is set to 7.5 and the under is slightly juiced. If you parlay the over on both of these, it pays +191. LaMelo is +130 to score 20+ points and +100 to get 8+ assists. If you parlay those together, it pays +226. LaMelo has accomplished this three times in his last nine games. With a tight spread, secure minutes and a fast-paced game, I absolutely love this boost. I am in.
Lebron to score 30+ and the Lakers to win +206 (DK)
The Lakers are a small 3.5-point favorite against the Heat. Lebron’s point player prop is set to 29.5. Lebron to hit his prop and the Lakers to win is set to +169 on Fan Duel. Oddly, enough Lebron to score 30+ and the Lakers to win pays only +160. This is a decent boost if you like the Lakers. The Lebron number is in line and fair. I am just not sure I like the Lakers. Pass.
Lebron to have two or more dunks and two or more Three pointers +300 (Fox Bet)
Lebron averages 1.7 made threes a game. Lebron has 36 dunks in 30 games. This is a pass for me. Lebron is not likely to have two dunks based upon that information in a slower paced game against the Heat. Pass.
Warriors/Lakers/Suns to all win +400 (Fox Bet)
No way I would be on the Warriors on a back-to-back here. This should pay +343 though, but all three have small spreads. Pass.
Dame Lillard over 5.5 threes and Portland to win +350 (Fox Bet)
Lillard’s made threes prop is set to 4.5 and the under is juiced. If you parlay the Lillard over and Portland to win, it pays +200 on Fan Duel. LIllard is +116 to make 5+ threes on Fan Duel. The best comp I can find is Lillard to make five or more threes and Portland to win should pay +227. Is one extra three pointer worth an extra +123. This is right on the boarder of being a good boost to play, but is well above what Lillard is expected. Lillard has made six or more threes in eight of 27 games. While this is close and the Wizards are awful defensively, if this was 4.5 threes I would be all over it. Pass.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% Parlay Boost on any 4+ Leg (DK)
Oregon/UNC/UCLA all to win +127 (DK)
Oregon -9
UNC -5.5
UCLA -7.5
All three of these teams look to be in great shape to win. However, you can parlay the same combo on Fan Duel for +130. Pass on the boost then.
Nova/Alabama/Tenn all to win +110 (DK)
Nova -7
Ala -14
Tenn -7.5
All three of these teams look to be in great shape to win as well. In this case, if you parlay these on Fan Duel it pays -116. I am in on this boost!
NBA
LaMelo Ball over 17.5 Points
Oh yes, I am all over LaMelo.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-22 50%
NCAA Record 8-12 40%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-13 -236
Hoops Odds Boosts 21-24 +2260
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 27-21 56.25%
NBA Model 160-166 49.07%
Win The Weekends 