I have had enough snow to last a while. However, I could go for more NBA Top Shots packs! When are those being released? Until they do, I am going to have to record a podcast to talk about the craziness of it all. Moments are tripling in price every day. You can buy things and flip them in hours for a profit. I bought a bunch of Domantas Sabonis yesterday for $8-$10. I was able to flip them all for $19 or more in twelve hours. If you are not buying Top Shots, you are missing out!
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
GSW -3.5
DEN -8.5
CHI +8
ATL +4.5 (Highest Rated in the model)
DET +4.5
OKC +10.5
NOP +3.5
TOR -3.5
UTA -5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Embiid and LaVine to both score 30+ Points +250 (FD)
Lavine’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is heavily juiced. Embiid’s point prop is set to 31.5 and the under is slightly juiced. If you parlay them to both go over it pays +237. On Fan Duel, you can parlay them to both score 30+ points for +200. This is actually pretty good. LaVine, needs to go over his number by one point, and Embiid needs to miss by one point to win. While, this is not boosted a great deal, it is solid enough that I am in.
Chris Paul or Brandon Ingram to score the first basket +320 (FD)
Nope. Never.
Sixers/Celtics/Clippers all to win +425 (DK)
Boston is a 4.5-point favorite. The Sixers are an eight-point favorite. The Clippers are a five-point home dog. This “boost” would pay +455 on Fan Duel. Easy pass.
Mitchell to score 30+ points and Jazz to win +400 (DK)
Mitchell’s points prop is set to 24.5 and the under is lightly juiced. If you parlay the Jazz to win and Mitchell to score over 24.5, it pays +157 on Fan Duel. Mitchell is+230 to score 30+ points tonight. If you parlay Mitchell to score 30+ and the Jazz to win, it pays +300. This is a nice boost, but it does ask five points over his prop point number. In that case, this is a pass from me only because we have no idea who is playing for the Clippers. This could be a blowout, or a competitive game, but either way, I am passing.
Embiid and Zion one or more dunk each +100 (Fox Bet)
Zion averages about two dunks per game. Embiid has 14 dunks in 23 games. The Bulls defense is suspect at best and they have no answer for Embiid. Hence betting the over in the above boost as well. I am in. My max stuff on Fox Bet is always weird. I wonder what everyone else gets for this one. I am in.
Embiid to have one dunk and Sixers to win +120 (Fox Bet)
If I am in on the one above, I am in on this. Sixer’s money line is high. I am in.
Nuggets/Sixers/Pelicans all to win +300
Denver is an 8.5-point favorite. Philly is an eight-point favorite. The Pelicans are a 3.5-point home dog. This parlayed on Fan Duel pays +303. Pass.
Trae and Giannis to both score 30+ points +350 (Fox Bet)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 31.5.
Trae’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the over is slightly juiced.
You can parlay these two reach their prop for +255.
You parlay them to both score 30+ points for +304 on Fan Duel. This is a slight boost, but I am not a fan of taking Trae against the Celtics tonight. Trae has scored 30+ points in eight of his 27 games this season. Pass.
Jokic to score 26 points and have a triple double +500 (Fox Bet)
Jokic is +280 to get a triple double. Jokic’s points prop is set to 26.5. If you parlay them together, it should pay +625. Pass.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% Parlay Boost on any 4+ Leg (DK)
NBA
NOP +3.5
I love them at home and they seem to be getting better.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 22-21 51.16%
NCAA Record 8-12 40%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-13 -236
Hoops Odds Boosts 18-24 +1790
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 27-20 57.44%
NBA Model 157-160 49.52%