John Wall scored 22 points in the first half and seemed like he was easily on his way to 30 plus points to win that odds boost on Fan Duel. Wall scored seven-second half points and fell short by one. Domantas Sabonis easily scored 20 plus points, but the Pacers fell in overtime. These things happen. Yet, we were in a great position to sweep the board, but some nights you fall short. As long as the process is correct, we will continue to find advantageous situations as we strive for every night. However, the highest rated play in the model came in again and we are right back at it tonight.
I will be updating on Twitter what I end up doing for NBA and college. I wanted to make sure the boosts do not disappear and people miss out on them, which has been happening.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
DEN +2
MEM +0.5
TOR +6
LAL -6
OKC +5.5
BRK +5.5 (Highest rated in model. This is a road B2B for the Nets)
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Harden and Booker to combine for 65+ points +390 (FD)
Harden’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced. Booker’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced. You can parlay them to both go over their prop at +262. That means roughly over 53 points pays you +262. You can parlay them to both score 30 plus points at +515. I would rather make the other two parlays than bet this boost. Pass.
Zion First Basket +620 (FD)
I am never betting this or recommending them.
3×2 Boost two or more made threes in first three minutes NOP/MEM +100 (FD)
I am never betting this or recommending them.
3×2 Boost two or more made threes in first three minutes PHO/BRK +100 (FD)
I am never betting this or recommending them.
Harden and Booker and Chris Paul to score 20+ points each +225 (DK)
Harden’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the under is juiced. Booker’s points prop is set to 26.5 and the under is slightly juiced. Paul’s points prop is set to 17.5 and the under is juiced. You can parlay all three to go over their prop for +597. If you parlay them to all score 20 or more points, it pays +228 on Fan Duel. Normally, I would say this is a boost for one person to hit the over and that is something you should consider. However, with the Fan Duel parlay paying more, this can easily be avoided. Pass on this boost.
Zion to score the first basket +655 (DK)
I mean, at least it pays more than on Fan Duel, but this is a no from me.
Lebron, Zion, and Giannis one or more dunks each +100 (Fox Bet)
Giannis has 70 dunks in 26 games. Lebron has 34 dunks in 28 games. Zion has 50 dunks in 25 games. Fine, I hate dunk props, but I am in. This is free money it seems, but has a max bet of $10 for me. LOL. Go get your $10 I suppose and bet this.
Boston/Milwaukee/Lakers to all win +250 (Fox Bet)
Boston is a small favorite and the Nuggets may have like nine players tonight. The Bucks have looked awful, but are 5.5-point favorites against the Raptors tonight. The Lakers without AD are six-point road favorites in Minnesota. If you parlay these together, it pays around +236. This is a slight boost, but not anything I feel is necessary bet. NBA money lines this year have been getting crushed. I have started to shy away from the “oh they should kill them no problem” games, because frankly it has not worked out. Maybe it is COVID, or maybe the schedule, but if you pay attention, it seems almost one five-point or larger dog is winning outright every single night. Pass on this boost unless the Nuggets injury information gets worse. If the Boston money line rises to the point where the true odds of this are under +200, I would be intrigued. I will let you know on Twitter if I jump in.
Tatum/Ingram/Towns all to score 25 or more points +900 (Fox Bet)
Tatum’s point prop is set to 25.5 and the over is juiced.
Ingram’s point prop it set to 23.5 and the over is juiced.
KAT’s point prop is set to 21.5 and the juice is the standard -110.
If you parlay them to all go over their point prop, it pays +563 on Fan Duel.
If you parlay them to all score 25 or more points, it pays +826 on Fan Duel.
Tatum is coming off an awful six-point game against the Wizards. If the game remains competitive, Tatum will only need to miss his prop number by a half point for this boost. Ingram scored 27 against Memphis not too long ago and has been above 25 in four of his last eight games. This is KAT’s fourth game back and he has scored 18, 20, and 25 points in those games. There is no Anthony Davis for the Lakers tonight. I cannot believe I am saying this about a +900 prop, but I am in. This is a boost; all three legs are attainable, with KAT’s being the most difficult. Nevertheless, KAT’s minutes are secure, the Lakers are missing a key post defender and this could be a nice breakout spot at home for Minnesota. I am in.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
UCONN/FLA/Purdue all to win +460 (FD)
This is a boost from +435 to +460 and features a 4.5 point Florida team as a dog.
50% Profit Boost one College game (DK)
Obviously, find the game you like the best and use this on it.
Mich ST and Arkansas to both win +370 (DK)
MSU is a +190 dog and Arkansas is a small favorite over Florida. This should pay +338. There is probably a way to bet this boost, the Fan Duel boost, then use your profit bonus on DK to make it where you have a small middle provided some other teams come in. That is way too complicated though and has too many moving parts to work.
NBA
Nothing at this time.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 21-20 51.21%
NCAA Record 8-11 42.10%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-12 -136
Hoops Odds Boosts 15-21 +1740
Hoops Player Props 4-1 +630
NBA Model Highest Rated 24-20 54.54%
NBA Model 148-151 49.49%
NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 9-4 69.23%
Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%