It is a Drake day. As many of you know, we have been on Drake since very early in the season and riding them every time they have played. This started before I actually tracked our NCAA record, so they are not all listed below. We are always transparent. If something wins on here, that means we made money. We are betting exactly what we are giving out and breaking down. Drake has covered in all but three games of their season. Drake is 19-1 on the year. Today though, they are playing a good team and had one of their starters get hurt in their last outing. It feels wrong to say, but Drake is a pass today.
Last night the Luka/Zion boost came through easily in the third quarter. We are up +1635 on odds boosts we have recommended since the NBA season has started. As always, our record is at the bottom of every article.
We have a free money alert on Draft Kings! Bet the over on Lakers and Nuggets game that is on 2/14 and for every wager on the over, the total drops one point. This is max bet of $25, but will be a free $25. Go and get your free money. It is currently over zero points. Yes, zero points.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
PHO +1
IND -1.5
HOU +1
GSW +4 (Highest Rated in the model)
UTA -6
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Derrick Rose to score 15+ points +190 (FD)
Rose’s player prop is set to 12.5 points and the under is juiced. Rose is +158 to score 15+ on Fan Duel. Yes, this is a slight boost, but it is a slower paced game with a lowish total of 211.5 points. This is also a back-to-back for the Knicks and Houston has been trending under recently. Seriously, go look at their last six games. Since trading for Victor Oladipo they have been better defensively. However, Oladipo is out tonight. To summarize, low total, back-to-back for an older Rose and his points prop under is juiced. The Knicks minutes are not consistent for their guards. This is a pass.
KD and Curry to both score 30+ Points +250 (FD)
KD’s player prop is set to 29.5 points, but the under is juiced. Curry’s player prop is set to 32.5 points and the under is slightly juiced. You can parlay them both to score 30+ on Fan Duel for +175. If you parlay together them to both hit their player prop is pays +254. In essence, you get a two-point break on Curry’s point prop for almost the exact same price. While the Nets should be back to full strength, DeAndre Jordan sitting may mean that KD has to play the five a lot more tonight. The Warriors will also go small, but this is a game with a massive total (245.5) and small spread at four points. Lastly, this is a KD revenge game! I am all in on this boost. I bet the max.
James Harden to record a triple double +365 (DK)
Harden is +250 on Fan Duel to record a triple double. Harden is “boosted” to +300 for a triple double on Fox Bet.
Harden’s rebound prop is set to 7.5 and the over is juiced. Harden’s assist prop is set to 10.5 and the under is slightly juiced. Harden’s point prop is set to 24.5 and obviously, points would not be the concern in this wager. The best comparison I can make is parlaying Harden over 15 points/Harden over 10.5 assists/Harden over 7.5 rebounds, which comes out to +188. While this is a boost at almost double what it should be, I have a hard time seeing Harden get there with Kyrie and KD playing. As odd as hit has been, when all three play Harden has taken a back seat at times. The total and game environment make it enticing, but this is a pass for me.
KD and Curry to make over 7.5 Threes +105 (DK)
KD’s prop is set to 2.5 and the under is heavily juiced. Curry’s prop is set to 5.5 and again the under is heaving juiced. If you parlayed them to both, hit the over, which would get you to eight made threes it pays +308. Of course, Curry could get hot and get there himself. You are better off parlaying them together instead of this boost. Pass on the boost.
Embiid and Curry to combine for 65 or more points +100 (Fox Bet)
We already discussed Curry and Embiid’s points prop is set to 30.5 and the over is juiced. Why would you bet this when you can parlay them to just hit their own overs for +254 on Fan Duel? Pass.
NYK/Nets/Jazz all to win +350 (Fox Bet)
The Knicks are a pick. You can parlay them on Fan Duel for +308. I am skipping this one. It is not worth the risk with such a small favorite included. Pass.
KD and Harden one or more dunk each +900
Do I really need to break down the amount of dunks people make in a game? I hate these.
KD has 23 dunks in 18 games. Harden has two dunk in 21 games. Pass. This needs to be over +1000 for me to be interested.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
20% profit boost on any 4+ leg parlay (DK)
If you have four games you like, go for it. I am not a fan of them making the money lines be -500 or less.
OK ST/FSU/OH ST to all win -121 (DK)
This is actually pretty solid. All three teams are favorites and playing at home. If you parlay them on another site, it pays -159. It is a slight boost. If you want to play it, go for it. I am not playing a boost that pays minus money very often. This is a pass for me.
TEN/TEX/WVU to all win +235 (DK)
This is +197 over on Fan Duel. This boost features a small home dog and a small road favorite. Pass for me.
USC/STAN/ALA to all win +120 (DK)
This is +114 on Fan Duel. I mean so say this is a slight boost is kind. Pass.
NBA
Nothing at this time.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 20-18 52.63%
NCAA Record 8-11 42.10%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-12 -136
Hoops Odds Boosts 13-18 +1635
Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100
NBA Model Highest Rated 22-19 53.65%
NBA Model 136-141 49.09%
NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 9-4 69.23%
Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Win The Weekends 