I had stopped paying attention. James Harden was having a fantastic game and I assumed 25 points was a given. He finished with 24 points. That prop with Harden, Dame Lillard, and Joel Embiid failed by a single point. The Embiid boost failed by ten points, as the Sixers won and covered, but the Sixers center did not score enough. The top play in the model came in and the two recommended NBA wagers also covered.
Thank you to all of you that reached out to let me know where I could find dunk stats on Basketball Reference. I had looked over the site several times and could not find it. Now, I have a better idea of if these dunk props are actually worth it.
I will be adding PGA wagers every Wednesday now, with previous results. Oddly, I have bet the second place finisher in each of the last two weeks. That means we are close. Just need to keep plugging away!
We have a free money alert on Draft Kings! Bet the over on Lakers and Nuggets game that is on 2/14 and for every wager on the over, the total drops one point. This is max bet of $25, but will be a free $25. Go and get your free money. It is currently Over 33.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
TOR -5.5
ATL +3.5 (Highest Rated in Model)
IND +2
LAC -10.5
CHA +4
CHI +3
CLE +9.5
OKC +11.5
MIL -4.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Giannis or Booker to record the first basket +225 (FD)
Pass. Never betting these.
Trae and Luka to each record 3+ made threes +375 (FD)
Luka’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 with the under juiced. Trae’s made three prop is set to 2.5 and the under is also juiced. You could just parlay them to both make over 2.5 threes for +308. This boost is a pass for me. Luka has just been so wildly inconsistent shooting threes. There are plenty of 1-5 or 1-7 games in there. When they played this game a few days ago, they combined for four made threes. Luka has made three of more threes in nine of 24 games this year. Trae has made three of more threes also in nine of 21 games.
33% Profit boost on any 3+ Leg NBA Parlay (DK)
No one team can be higher than -500.
Giannis and Booker to each score over 29.5 points +385 (DK)
Giannis’s point prop is set to 29.5. Nothing is listed for Booker at the moment because Chris Paul is questionable. For argument sake, Booker’s points prop should be around 25-26 range. Using the higher end of 26.5 as a points prop. A parlay of these two would come in under this number by a decent amount, maybe around +350 or so. If Chris Paul sits, I kind of like this. I will have to revisit later in the evening and see where Booker’s points prop settles.
Trae and Luka to make over 4.5 combined threes +105 (DK)
Luka’s made threes prop is set to 2.5 with the under juiced. Trae’s made three prop is set to 2.5 and the under is also juiced. The FD boost is better for the extra one three pointer added in.
Trae and Luka to combine for 60 or more points +150 (Fox Bet)
Trae’s point prop is set to 27.5 and the over is juiced. Luka’s point prop is set to 28.5 and the over is slightly juiced. You could parlay them to both get over their number for +255 on Fan Duel. You can parlay them to both score 30+ on Fan Duel for +351. Those are both obviously a better deal. Pass on the boost.
Mavs/Nets/Clippers Money Line Parlay +250 (Fox Bet)
You can parlay them all on Fan Duel for +268. Pass on the boost.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Tennessee to lead at half time and win the game -265 (DK)
All things considered this is a massive boost. Tennessee money line is about -825. While this is a large boost, I cannot recommend playing a -265 money line alone. Pass.
NBA
Nothing at this time.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
PGA
Kevin Streelman 37/1 (FD)
Adam Long 125/1 (DK)
Streelman top 10 +280 (FD)
Long top 10 +800 (DK)
PGA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Max Home to finish top 30 +115 (DK)
You can bet this on Fan Duel at +110. So, yeah this is not much of a boost. Pass.
Picks This Season (Winners in Bold, none yet!)
2/4
Munoz 125/1
Xander 11/1 –Finished second and blew a lead on the last day, UGH.
1/28
Xander 13/1 –Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Palmer 65/1 – Finished tied for second. Ugh.
Gooch 90/1
Huh 130/1
1/21
Henley 35/1
Brendan Steele 90/1
1/14
Abraham Ancer 30/1
PGA Winners I Bet Last Season
6/28 Dustin Johnson 28-1 Travelers (Live bet him at 60/1 too)
8/2 Justin Thomas 10-1 WGC ST Jude (I had JT on 7/12 too and he lost in a playoff)
8/9 Morikawa 30-1 PGA Championship
8/23 Dustin Johnson 20-1 Northern Trust
9/20 Bryson DeChambeau 33-1 U.S. Open
10/25 Patrick Cantlay 30/1 ZoZo Championship
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 19-17 %
NCAA Record 7-11 38.88%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-11 -036
Hoops Odds Boosts 11-17 +1015
Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100
NBA Model Highest Rated 20-18 %
NBA Model 122-130 %
NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 9-4 69.23%
Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Win The Weekends 