The Giannis/Luka/Curry odds boost ended up coming in! Recommended bets for hoops odds boosts move to 11-15, which is good for +1215. Oddly, Draft Kings voided their college hoops odds boost parlay. I mean, two out of three played and they both won, yet they voided it? I guarantee if one had lost, they would not have voided. If this was a regular money line, or regular parlay, it just drops to a two-gamer normally. I have had this happen before. It happens a little more often in baseball, but due to COVID, it has occurred more often.
I realize I had not been tracking how the highest rated in the model has been doing and should have been doing that. Several people messaged me saying thanks for mentioning it, or they let me know when I forget to! I have added it to the bottom where we keep records.
We have a free money alert on Draft Kings! Bet the over on Lakers and Nuggets game that is on 2/14 and for every wager on the over, the total drops one point. This is max bet of $25, but will be a free $25. Go and get your free money. It is currently Over 33.
Until the games start, let’s have some fun and build the pile!
NBA Model Plays
DET +7
NYK +6 (Highest Rated in Model)
HOU +5.5
GSW +1
PHI -5
BOS +5.5
ORL +6
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
3×2 Boost Two or More three-point field goals made in first two minutes HOU/NOP +100 (FD)
No.
3×2 Boost Two or More three-point field goals made in first two minutes UTA/BOS +100 (FD)
No.
Embiid to score 35+ and the Sixers to win +450 (FD)
Embiid’s prop is set to 29.5 points and the under is juiced a slight amount.
Embiid to hit the over and the Sixers to win is +160.
Embiid to score 35+ points is +235 on Fan Duel. If you parlay Embiid 35+ and Sixers to win it pays +309. This is actually a pretty good boost. Embiid should crush the Kings after a few days’ rest. Embiid has scored 35 or more in 6/19 games this season. I am in.
Tatum and Mitchell each to score 25+ points +135 (DK)
Mitchell’s point prop is set at 26.5. I would assume that once Jaylen Brown is ruled out Tatum’s point prop would be in the same area. Mitchell is -166 to score 25+ points in this game. If Tatum’s prop number is in this area, I am projecting a parlay of them both to score 25+ as around +165 on Fan Duel. If that ends up being the case, pass. I may actually bet this as a parlay on Fan Duel. I will Tweet about this later.
Zion over 2.5 Dunks and Pelicans to win +145 (DK)
I do not play these dunk props. I have looked for some source that tracks dunks. Does anyone have a reputable one?
Embiid one or more dunks and Sixers to win +100 (Fox Bet)
This seems good, but again, I do not know where to find dunk stats. LOL.
Nets/Sixers/Blazers ML Parlay +200 (Fox Bet)
This pays +184 on another site, so it is a slight boost. Pass for me though.
Harden/Embiid/Lillard 25 or more points each +300 (Fox Bet)
We know this is below Embiid’s number. Harden’s point prop is set to 26.5, with the under juiced. Harden is also -158 to score 25 or more points on Fan Duel. Lillard’s points prop is set to 31.5 points. LIllard is actually -580 to score 25+ points. If you Parlay all three to score 25 plus points on Fan Duel it pays +153. This is a pretty solid wager. This boost is almost double, what it is really worth. I am in.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
50% Profit boost any one College Hoops game. Max bet $50.I would use this on your favorite college game tonight.
WVU/TT to go to OT +1240 (DK)
Who bets these?
Mich ST/Texas/Butler to all win +220 (DK)
This is the same price on Fan Duel without the “boost.” Two of these are small favorites. Pass.
NBA
NYK +6
Top rated play in the model. I am in.
PHI -5
Of course, I like the rested Sixers on first game of west coast swing.
NCAAB
I will use that boost on something. Not sure what at the moment. I will post on Twitter.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.
NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 9-4 69.23%
Overall 147-111 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 17-17 50%
NCAA Record 7-11 38.88%
Hoops Parlay Record 6-11 -036
Hoops Odds Boosts 11-15 +1215
Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100
NBA Model Highest Rated 19-18 51.35%
NBA Model 118-127 48.16%
Win The Weekends 