*Updates for each site are noted below!
Maybe I expected too much. Maybe I expected more. I rather assumed that the sites would be posting an insane amount of odds boosts. Now, they still have time, but why wait? I thought for sure each site would have one wager that was a lock, so people regardless of the outcome would have money in their account come Monday morning. At this point, that is not the case. Why not try to get the casual players to wager on the Super Bowl and then try and persuade them to keep playing with their winnings on other sports? As I said, maybe I expected too much. I thought this article would be extremely long, but instead, it is not. Before we jump to all of the odds boosts and a list of everything I have wagered on to this point, make sure you check out my discussion with Jeff Collins from Numberball.com. We discussed our Super Bowl pick, sports trading cards, NBA Top Shot and our thoughts on the NBA season to this point. Yes, I mention that I added some futures on an NBA team to win the title. Who is it? Well, you will have to watch or listen to find out.
NFL Super Bowl Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
55% boost on any one wager Max $50
Find the prop, or wager you like the best that they will allow you to use this one and you must use it!
10% boost on any one wager Max $25
Find the prop, or wager you like the best that they will allow you to use this one and you must use it! These two profit boosts should be the first thing you lock in on whatever two wagers you like the best, then go from there.
Big Game Prop Boost 25%
There are five options here to pick from and you can pick one. I am already on the Chiefs to score first with a touchdown, so might as well back it up with Chiefs to score first. In games like this you need to pick a narrative of how you feel it may go, then roll with it and tell that story with your wagers.
First Scoring Play of the game to be a KC Touchdown +190
I am in on this as I am for all Chiefs to score first TD props. If it is 7-0 and Kelce scores the first touchdown, I am going to be up for the night no matter what else happens.
Total completions over 55+ +115 DK
Mahomes 28.5 and Brady is 24.5 53 is expected baseline. So not bad here to get over.
Brady and Mahomes over 650.5 passing yards +125
Mahomes is 325.5 and Brady is 295.5. Not that great here with 621 expected as baseline.
Kelce/Hill/Godwin/Evans all over 55+ receiving yards +400
Kelce and Hill numbers way over this. Godwin is 77.5 and Evans is 63.5. This seems great!
If you bet everyone over 50 yards on FD parlay is +145.
If you bet everyone over 60 yards on FD parlay is +283.
I am all over this one!
Over 13.5 points scored in first quarter +125
Brady super bowls have all gone under early and the Chiefs always seem to start slow. Pass on this one. Notice, both sites have this as an option.
*Added Saturday 2/6/2021
25% live profit boost on the Super Bowl
I am going to live bet the game might as well have a profit boost!
Chris Godwin 1st Quarter TD +1100
I suppose if you like him for first TD, might as well add this, but I mean he is +1200 for first TD. I would much rather do that. Pass.
Gronk and Kelce to score +455
I love Kelce and have some Gronk over bets. I am intrigued.
Tyreke Hill First TD +705
I am on Kelce and have made my choice.
Mahomes 3 TD’s and Chiefs win +130
You can parlay this for better odds on Fan Duel. Pass.
Fan Duel
Same Game Parlay
If you wager $25 and only one leg losses, you get a refund.
$25 Risk Free Wager
I got this offer emailed to me and used it on Kelce first TD +600.
Pat’s Picks
Nothing is listed.
Extra Points for Extra Pay
Nothing is listed.
First Scoring Play to Be a TB TD +240
I am all over the Chiefs scoring first, so I am passing on this. If you are betting a few Bucs for first touchdown, then play this too.
Mahomes 300+ Yards and 3+ Passing TD’s +190
I think there could be better ways to bet this combo than this boost. Of course if you think the Chiefs win and score a ton this is great. Mahomes prop for passing yardage is well above 300 yards and over 2.5 TD’s is also heavily juices at -136. You know what I am in on this.
Over 13.5 Points scored in first quarter +140
The Chiefs are slow starters at times and go look at the lack of scoring by Tom Brady led Super Bowl teams. Of all the boosts, this is the easiest to pass on.
*Added Saturday 2/6/2021
Kelce to score 2+ Touchdowns +400
He is minus money to score one. I may come back here later today. This fits my narrative of the game, but I should probably bet him for MVP if I am going to be on this as well.
Fox Bet
Fox Bet has been publicizing this super boost of Brady and Mahomes to each throw two or more touchdowns boosted to +100. On the surface, it seems great. Brady is -230 to throw over two touchdown passes. Mahomes is -455 to throw over two touchdown passes. This has a max bet of $25. What they do not tell you is that it is $25 per day. I have been firing on this daily since it posted. A small $25 wager can turn into a $225 wager over the course of nine days with this boost. Now, when I say on the surface it seems great, there is another element to this you should consider. Brady to throw over 2.5 touchdowns pays +130. The Books are basically saying, we expect him to throw two. I think you can also bet Brady over 2.5 touchdown passes for +130 on a different site like Draft Kings and try to maximize your profits here. In a game with a 56.5 point total, each quarterback throwing two touchdown passes seems safe. Mahomes has done it in every game he has finished but two this season. Brady has two or more in all but three games. Overall, load up on this daily and consider firing on Brady over 2.5 TD’s at +130 on another site. Try to set yourself up to at worst break even, or have a great day using just this boost and one similar prop.
Chiefs first offensive play a pass +200
This seems too good to pass up, but it is only a max bet of $10. I wonder if they will let me bet this every day. LOL.
If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter and update this article for the weekend.
Plays I Will Be On
I have made a few wagers and I list the price and site where I made the wager.
KC -3 -110
I bet this the moment the game opened and continue to think it is the correct side.
First Touchdown
Kelce +600 (FD Free wager) They love those weird plays to Kelce near end zone.
Kelce +650 (DK)
Kelce +750 (DK first TD odds boost max bet $25)
Mike Evans +1150 (Fox Bet Best odds by far on him and I wanted one TB player)
KC First score of game a TD +190 (DK)
Total Players to attempt a pass +190
Any Field Goal or Extra Point to hit the upright or cross bar +375 (DK)
Brady and Mahomes 2+ Passing TD’s +100 (Fox Bet) I bet the max every day.
Brady over 2.5 TD Passes +125 (DK) I think he is getting two for sure.
Gronk Over 30.5 receiving yards -105 (Fox Bet)
Mahomes over 20.5 Rushing Yards -105 (Fox Bet)
Mahomes longest Rush Over 10.5 yards -112 (DK)
I love both of these. With a banged up offensive line and a strong pass rush coming at him, Mahomes will have to escape and run at times. I think he hits both of these. These are my two favorite individual props.
Kelce over 8.5 receptions +110 (DK)
Either team to convert a 2-point conversion YES +240
If I think a kick hits a cross bar, than this tracks as well.
Brady MVP Boost +250 (DK)
This is kind of a small hedge on my KC stuff, but all can still get there.
Kelce/Hill/Godwin/Evans all over 55+ receiving yards +400
Every single player’s prop number is much higher than this number. I realize one injury and it dies, but Evans at 63.5 is the lowest of all of them. I think the Chiefs will score a ton.
Who Wins The Game
Kansas City
Who Wins Game ATS
Kansas City
Computer Model
Platinum Plays
None
Premium Plays
None
Regular Plays
TB +3.5
NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 8-4 66.66%
Overall 146-111 56.68%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 15-16 48.38%
NCAA Record 7-9 43.75%
Hoops Parlay Record 5-11 -141
Hoops Odds Boosts 10-15 +755
Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100
NBA Model 108-114 48.64%
Win The Weekends 