Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Bet Plus Computer Model Plays 1-28-2021

Massive NBA slates seem to be followed up by tiny slates. I am not a fan. We hit the Embiid and Lebron boost last night, but got close on the Embiid boost I tweeted later in the evening. Florida State also came through easily and we hit our small parlay including them. If the Suns had only not blown a 4-point lead in the final three minutes it could have been an awesome night. Instead, it was a slightly profitable.

Another NBA Top Shots pack opening video is coming. Included in this pack opening is one of the rare Cool Cats packs! This video will be posting tonight. You can of course watch my first pack opening video here.

Until then, let us have some fun and build the pile tonight.


NBA Model Plays
POR +5
LAC +4
DET +9.5
GSW +2.5


NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Brooklyn to win NBA title +375 (FD)
This expires today.  
They are only +300 in other spots. If you bet them already, stay with it no need to add more. Pass.

Fan Duel has two 3×2 boosts, aka two or more three point field goals in the first three minutes +100 (FD)
I am passing on both of these, pretty much all the time too.


Dame Lillard over 32.5 Points and Blazers to win +330 (DK)
You can parlay this on Fan Duel at +307, also Lillards player prop number is exactly 32.5. This is barely a boost, but you can play it if you like the Blazers and Lillard. Pass for me.

Steph Curry to make 5+ threes and Warriors to win +335 (DK)
On Fan Duel you can parlay this for +313. Curry’s threes made prop is 4.5 as well. Again, this is a slight boost, but nothing I am really interested in. Pass for me.

Rockets/Lakers/Heat Money Line Parlay +200 (Fox Bet)
All three are favorites and if you like them go for it. I like one of the games the other way.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Gonzaga to lead at half time and cover 27.5 +125 (DK)
Gonzaga is now a 28.5-point favorite. Therefore, you are getting a bargain on the line at plus money. The halftime line is -16.5, so I would assume Gonzaga would be up at the half. San Diego has had so many games canceled it is hard to get a read on them. The only team even close to the Zags level is UCLA and they beat San Diego by 27 points. I am in on this one.

Kansas/Gonzaga/Houston to all win by 15+ points +275 (DK)
Obviously, this is a great deal on the Gonzaga line. Houston is -17.5 so you are again getting a deal. Kansas is -14.5 tonight. There is some clear value here as Kansas beat TCU by 29 in their previous meeting. Oddly, tonight, I am in on both of these college boosts.

NBA
Pistons +9.5
This is a perfect spot for the Lakers to potentially rest either AD or Lebron. A road back-to-back for Los Angeles and they are 1-1 straight up and against the spread in that scenario this season. Lakers plat at Boston on Saturday night in a national TV game on ABC. This is more about fading the Lakers spot, than liking the Pistons, but here we are.

NCAAB
Just the two boosts on Draft Kings tonight.

Let’s Get Weird
Nothing at this time.

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 8-4 66.66%
Overall 146-111 56.68%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 13-9 59.09%
NCAA Record 6-8 42.85%
Hoops Parlay Record 4-9 -047
Hoops Odds Boosts 8-10 +890
Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100
NBA Model 78-80 49.36%

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