Drake with the nice win after being down 14 points at the half was very enjoyable. We also hit our parlay with Drake last night. Overall, great night. Tonight we have a massive 12 games NBA slate! I complained we have had small slates well this is too big. I love the 6-8 game sweet spot. Maybe that is the daily fantasy player in me, but less games to break down helps me as a handicapper. I do not know if I can go back to Drake, but there are a few games I am interested in.
Yesterday, I was able to purchase several NBA Top Shots packs and another pack opening video is coming. Included in this pack opening is one of the rare Cool Cats packs! This video will be posting tonight. You can of course watch my first pack opening video here.
Until then, let us have some fun and build the pile tonight.
NBA Model Plays
DET +3
ORL -1.5
IND -1.5
Tor +7
ATL +6
LAL -3
SAS +4
WAS +7.5
UTA -3 (Highest rated in model, despite back-to-back for the Jazz) *Donovan Mitchell is now out
PHO -7
MIN -9
MIA +5.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Lebron and Joel Embiid to combine for 60+ points +270 (FD)
James player prop is 26.5 and Embiid’s is 25.5. If you parlay the two of them on Fan Duel, it pays +241. I will say this is a competitive game with a small spread though. It feels like you are asking a little too much considering their prop numbers. If the payout was a little higher, it would make more sense. Pass.
Anthony Davis first basket +670 (FD)
Ugh, no.
Steph Curry to score 35+ points and Golden State to win +320 (FD)
Curry’s point prop is 30.5 tonight and the Warriors are nine point favorites. Just parlaying the over on Curry and the Warriors pays +128. In this case, 4.5 points more than doubles this boost. You can also bet Curry to score 40 or more on Fan Fuel at +490. Actually, this is not bad at all. If you like, Curry and he did just score 36 against the Wolves in their last game. I can get behind this one and would like it even more if DeAngelo Russell could play tonight. Russell is an awful defender, but he may help keep Minnesota in the game.
Brooklyn to win NBA title +375 (FD)
This expires today.
They are only +300 in other spots. If you bet them already, stay with it no need to add more. Pass.
33% Profit boost on any 3+ leg NBA parlay (DK)
Max bet is $25 and no one wager can be more than -500.
This will also be going in the let’s get weird section. There has been one major NBA upset almost every night, but let us hope it is not one of these games.
Bucks/Nets/Warriors/Suns/Pelicans ML Parlay +367 Boosted to +487
We can have some fun using the max bet of $25 this pays out around $147.
Lebron and Embiid to score over 52.5 points combined +120 (DK)
Now this is right at their prop number and I like it in this completive game. I am in.
Steph Curry to make 4.5 threes and the Warriors to win +140 (DK)
Curry’s three’s made prop is 4.5 and the over is -113. You can parlay them on FD for +127. This is a boost, while it being a slight one. If you are on Curry, tonight go ahead and fire away. He did make seven three’s against the Wolves in their last game.
Nets/Bucks/Celtics all to win +225 (Fox Bet)
So about this “boost.” You can bet these on any sportsbook for the exact same price. Pass.
Embiid over 34.5 points and Sixers to win +1000 (Fox Bet)
Embiid is +590 to score 35 or more points on Fan Duel. If you parlay Embiid over his points prop and the Sixers to win it only pays +270, which seems low. I will say, if the Sixers are going to win this game Embiid is going to have to go crazy. This more than a fair price for the task. I am intrigued.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Ark/CSU/NC ST all to win +360 (DK)
This is barely a boost from +323 to +360. CSU is a small home dog to a very good Boise State team. The other two are decent enough favorites though. Pass.
NBA
Bucks -7
Lots of players popping up as questionable for the Raptors. Being added to the injury report is never a good sign. I am grabbing this number before it is gone and the Raptors are missing players. I realize the model likes the game the other way, but at times we can break from our model.
Jazz -3 (*Donovan Mitchell is now out)
The Mavs are in free fall and while this may be a back-to-back for the Jazz, they are on fire. Utah has won nine in a row and I do not think anyone is aware.
NCAAB
Florida State -11.5
Miami has been wildly inconsistent and has been blown out on the road several times. FSU has won four in a row and seems to be rounding into form.
Let’s Get Weird
Bucks/Nets/Warriors/Suns/Pelicans ML Parlay +367 Boosted to +487
FSU/Bucks/Pelicans/Warriors +149
NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 8-4 66.66%
Overall 146-111 56.68%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 12-9 57.14%
NCAA Record 5-8 38.46%
Hoops Parlay Record 3-8 -096
Hoops Odds Boosts 7-9 +870
Hoops Player Props 2-1 +100
NBA Model 74-73 50.34%
Win The Weekends 