Basketball Odds Boosts You Should Bet and Computer Model Plays 1-12-2021

I want to bet the Pacers tonight. The sites are all begging you to take the Warriors and back Steph Curry. I just do not see the need to attack Golden State at this point with the Pacers on a back-to-back and having two straight losses. I like to give myself reasons to not make a bet, instead of looking for a reason to bet. While, I may miss some winners this way, I also avoid many losers.


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NBA Model Plays
PHI -6.5
CLE +11(Highest Rated in Model)
BRO -1
OKC +2
LAL -4.5
IND +3

NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting.  
KD and Jokic to combine for 60+ points +220 (FD)
If this was a little lower I would be interested.  While KD’s prop is 30.5, Jokic’s is only 23.5. Pass.

Curry to score 30+ points and Warriors to win +225 (FD)
Warriors are small favorites and catch the Pacers in a road back-to-back. Curry’s prop is set at 29.5, but the under is favored at -122. This feels like too much of a coin flip to be worth the risk. It is not very advantageous. The true odds of this parlay are around +195. Pass.

Lebron and Harden to each score 26.5+ points +255 (DK)
This is right in line with where Lebron has been scoring when playing a full complement of minutes. However, both Anthony Davis and LeBron are questionable. If Davis sits, obviously I like the Lebron side a lot. However, Harden has not been shooting well. Harden has not been over 22 points since the New Year. If, Davis sits, I will fire on this though. If he plays, I am avoiding. Pass, for now.

Curry 4.5 Made 3’s and Warriors win +115 (DK)
Yeah, this is not that great at all. If the Warriors were bigger favorites, maybe. Pass.

Sixers/Nets/Lakers all to win +310 (Fox Bet)
Nets are one point favorites in a weird spot. The true odds are around +279. Slight boost, but a pass.

Curry over 29.5 points and the Warriors to win +200 (Fox Bet)
The FD bet is better obviously, even when looking at odds boost you need to shop around. Have you noticed a trend, where the sites keep offering similar odds boosts on the same teams or situations? It is almost as if they there is a reason. The last weekend they involved the Seahawks. Tonight, they all involve the Warriors and Curry. Pass.

NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nothing is listed.


NBA
PHI -6.5
Covid is the story here, but the line tells me that Joel Embiid is going to play. If Embiid plays, the Heat will be without Bam, Dragic, Nunn, Butler, Haslem and Harkless. This game has a great chance of being canceled. I am playing the Sixers as of now.

NCAAB
Nothing as of now.

Let’s Get Weird
Sixers/Jazz/Buffalo (NCAAB)/Akron ML parlay +130
This starts at 2 PM!

NFL
2020 Season Record
Playoffs 5-1 83.33%
Overall 143-108 56.97%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%

Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 5-5 50%
NCAA Record 3-7 30%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-5 -029
Hoops Odds Boosts 3-3 +160
Hoops Player Props 1-1 000
NBA Model 26-27 49.05%

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