I ended up on Boise State -19 last night and they won by exactly 19 points. Were they up 25 with 2:30 left and proceeded to miss every shot the rest of the game. While not losing is great, that should have been a win.
On the NBA side, day two of the model went very well at 7-4 with the highest rated play being a large dog that won outright, again. The Embiid and Sixers boost ended up coming in too. I hope this trend continues, but I am still going to proceed with caution on the model, as this is a long season. The perfect example is the Cavs today as they have the highest grade. This is a road back-to-back for the Cavs and they have a ton of injuries. Additionally, the Lakers have listed both LeBron James and Anthony Davis as questionable for tonight. Obviously, if they sit then taking the Lakers would not make a ton of sense. This game opened at around 9-points and we are down to 5.5, which I think you know what that means.
Make sure you are following us on twitter as we may post plays there later in the day. We are also working on some YouTube content in the future.
NBA Model Plays
Nets +2
Cavs +5 (Highest Rated today)
TWolves +9.5
Mavs +2
Lakers -5.5
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Look at this, we have some boosts today on Fan Duel!
Kyrie to score 30+ and the Nets to win +380
I like this if the Sixers rest someone on the back-to-back. Imagine if Embiid sits, then I would bet the $50 max. Fox Bet has this exact same boost at 29.5 points, but it only pays +280. As always it pays to shop around.
Jokic to record a triple-double +230
Jokic usage may drop slightly with MPJ coming back, so I am not loving this.
The 3×2 Boosts are like betting the first basket scorer to me. I will pass.
100% Profit Boost Nets/Sixers (Draft Kings)
I am going to wait this out and use it on something for the game. Make sure you are following on Twitter as I will update. Again, if Embiid sits you can bet the props of Kyrie, Tobias Harris or Ben Simmons with this boost. Besides that DK has removed the odds boost tab.
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
Nothing is listed on FD and DK and the offerings on Fox Bet are not great.
For today, I am looking into a few games. However, at this moment, I am passing on all of them. Some nights nothing stands out as a good play. Of course, that could change with news. It is more than fine to not make a bet every night.
NCAAB
Nothing at this time.
NBA
Nothing at this time.
Let’s Get Weird
I had a ton of success betting golf the last nine months, so I put a small bet on Justin Thomas at +750 and a smaller one of Adam Scott at 50/1. This starts at 2:30 PM Eastern today.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 5-5 50%
NCAA Record 3-6 33.33%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-5 -029
Hoops Odds Boosts 2-2 +010
Hoops Player Props 0-1 -100
NBA Model 11-5 68.75%
NFL
2020 Season Record
Overall 138-107 56.33%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Win The Weekends 